Match Info

NHL

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Washington Capitals		New York Islanders

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.2	2.8	Watch
	2.23	4.15	2.75
	2.27	4.2	2.67
	2.21	4.32	2.71	Watch
	2.25	4	2.75
	2.3	4.32	2.75
	2.2	4.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.28)	4.21 ↑ (4.16)	2.73 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
42.6%

Draw
22.6%

New York Islanders
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

23%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

23.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Washington Capitals - New York Islanders Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 3 - 25%). NY Islanders will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Islanders: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York Islanders will win (14 of 18 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Stevenson C. (G)	33. Rittich D. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)	6. Pulock R. (A)
42. Fehervary M.	48. Schaefer M.
43. Wilson T. (A)	13. Barzal M.
17. Strome D.	14. Horvat B. (A)
21. Protas A.	81. Palat O.
Line 2
3. Roy M.	77. DeAngelo A.
6. Chychrun J.	3. Pelech A.
72. Beauvillier A.	10. Holmstrom S.
34. Sourdif J.	29. Drouin J.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	51. Heineman E.
Line 3
57. Van Riemsdyk T.	24. Mayfield S.
38. Sandin R.	4. Soucy C.
9. Leonard R.	11. Duclair A.
26. Dowd N.	44. Pageau J.
53. Frank E.	27. Lee A. (C)
Line 4
15. Milano S.	16. Gatcomb M.
29. Lapierre H.	53. Cizikas C.
22. Duhaime B.	32. Maclean K.
Substitutes
68. Bjorklund G. (G)	30. Sorokin I. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Roy P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:26, Dowd N. (2 min),
10:51, Schaefer M. (2 min),
16:38, 0 - 1, Barzal M. (G),
19:41, Wilson T. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:29, 1 - 1, Fehervary M. (G), Wilson T. (A), Dowd N. (A2)
06:00, 2 - 1, Beauvillier A. (G), Roy M. (A), Ovechkin A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:47, Wilson T. (5 min),
01:47, Mayfield S. (5 min),
01:47, Mayfield S. (2 min),
03:37, Soucy C. (2 min),
08:46, 3 - 1, Dowd N. (G), Sandin R. (A), Frank E. (A2)
17:35, 4 - 1, Carlson J. (G), Protas A. (A),
18:51, Duclair A. (2 min),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Washington has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain) Fehervary M. (Personal Reasons) Lindgren C. (Lower-Body Injury) McMichael C. (Injury) Roy M. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Ritchie C. (Lower-Body Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Washington: Thompson L. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in NY Islanders: Drouin J. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 56:49. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 2.3:2.6).

Outrights of NHL for now

Washington Capitals: 5.74% New York Islanders: 0.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.97%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

New York Islanders - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.99%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
31.01.26	Washington Capitals - Carolina Hurricanes	4:3 OT ✺
29.01.26	Detroit Red Wings - Washington Capitals	3:4 penalties ✺
27.01.26	Seattle Kraken - Washington Capitals	5:1 ✺
24.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - Washington Capitals	6:5 OT ✺
23.01.26	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLLW
- New York Islanders
NHL
31.01.26	New York Islanders - Nashville Predators	3:4 ✺
29.01.26	New York Rangers - New York Islanders	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	New York Islanders - New York Rangers	5:2 ✺
26.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - New York Islanders	0:4 ✺
24.01.26	New York Islanders - Buffalo Sabres	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
30.11.25	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	1:4
31.10.25	Washington Capitals - New York Islanders	1:3
11.10.25	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	2:4
15.04.25	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	1:3
06.04.25	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	4:1
29.11.24	Washington Capitals - New York Islanders	5:4 OT
29.12.23	New York Islanders - Washington Capitals	5:1

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