Match Info

AHL

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza (Wilkes-Barre Township, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins		Rochester Americans

	1	X	2
	2	4	2.75	Watch
	2.14	4.05	2.75
	2.11	4.15	2.82
	1.48	4.76	5.30	Watch
	2.1	4	2.7
	2.1	4.05	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.25)	4.17 ↑ (3.8)	3.18 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
47.6%

Draw
22.7%

Rochester Americans
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

24.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.4%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins's performance.

Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rochester Americans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rochester Americans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wilkes Barre Scranton Penguins - Rochester Americans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Murashov S. (G)	33. Ratzlaff S. (G)
25. Aho S.	15. Bayreuther G.
26. Broz T.	58. Belliveau I.
45. Brunicke H.	73. Costantini M.
84. Calvert A.	37. Douglas C.
50. Harding F.	29. Fulp A.
49. Harvey-Pinard R.	91. Helenius K.
85. Hayes A. (A)	8. Joshua J.
22. Howe T.	16. Kuntar T.
70. Ilyin M.	36. Laaouan N.
14. Imama B.	25. Lawrence K.
52. Kemp P. (C)	7. Leschyshyn J.
64. Klassen G.	72. Meyer C. (A)
41. Koivunen V.	57. Mrtka R.
15. Koppanen J. (A)	20. Nadeau O.
8. McDonough A.	5. Rathbone J. (A)
2. McGroarty R.	17. Savage R.
38. Pickering O.	24. Wahlberg A.
44. Pietila C.	45. Warren B. (A)
Substitutes
30. Blomqvist J. (G)	50. Leinonen T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:03, 1 - 0, McGroarty R. (G),
05:39, 2 - 0, Calvert A. (G), Aho S. (A), McDonough A. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
04:48, 3 - 0, McGroarty R. (G), Broz T. (A), Pickering O. (A2)
09:35, 4 - 0, Broz T. (G), McGroarty R. (A), McDonough A. (A2)
14:32, 5 - 0, Pickering O. (G), Calvert A. (A), Koppanen J. (A2)
18:36, 6 - 0, Harvey-Pinard R. (G), Aho S. (A), Calvert A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:03, 7 - 0, Koivunen V. (G), Broz T. (A), Brunicke H. (A2)
10:01, 8 - 0, Harvey-Pinard R. (G), Pickering O. (A), Koppanen J. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

Wilkes-Barre is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Rochester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rochester has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Wilkes-Barre will win today's game, with odds of 2.14.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilkes-Barre won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 51:71. (average 2.6:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wilkes-Barre won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 2.9:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.69%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins
AHL
17.04.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Bridgeport Islanders	4:1 ✺
15.04.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears	1:5 ✺
11.04.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Cleveland Monsters	4:1 ✺
09.04.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	6:5 OT ✺
04.04.26	Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLW
- Rochester Americans
AHL
17.04.26	Rochester Americans - Cleveland Monsters	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Providence Bruins - Rochester Americans	6:3 ✺
10.04.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Rochester Americans	3:1 ✺
08.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans	2:3 ✺
06.04.26	Cleveland Monsters - Rochester Americans	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
07.11.25	Rochester Americans - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	6:4
26.02.25	Rochester Americans - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	5:2
09.11.24	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Rochester Americans	5:0
16.02.24	Rochester Americans - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	5:3
16.12.23	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Rochester Americans	2:1
17.03.23	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Rochester Americans	5:4 penalties
25.01.23	Rochester Americans - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:2

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