The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Winnipeg Jets 36.8%
Draw 22.8%
Montreal Canadiens 40.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.1%
22.4%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
21.8%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winnipeg Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Winnipeg Jets - Montreal Canadiens Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Winnipeg will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Winnipeg: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Winnipeg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
74. Skinner S. (G)
32. Fowler J. (G)
4. Pionk N. (A)
8. Matheson M. (A)
54. Samberg D.
48. Hutson L.
91. Perfetti C.
20. Slafkovsky J.
55. Scheifele M. (A)
91. Kapanen O.
81. Connor K.
13. Caufield C.
Line 2
57. Salomonsson E.
45. Carrier A.
38. Ferraro M.
21. Guhle K.
13. Vilardi G.
17. Anderson J. (A)
61. Bjorck V.
15. Newhook A.
9. Iafallo A.
22. Kreider C.
Line 3
2. DeMelo D.
53. Dobson N.
24. Fleury H.
72. Xhekaj A.
. Mercer D.
85. Texier A.
17. Lowry A. (C)
24. Danault P.
27. Rosen I.
76. Bolduc Z.
Line 4
45. Koepke C.
63. Xhekaj F.
36. Barron M.
71. Evans J. (A)
62. Niederreiter N.
77. Dach K.
Substitutes
33. Stevenson C. (G)
75. Dobes J. (G)
Coaches
. Arniel S.
. St. Louis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
16:14, Carrier A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
07:19, 0 - 1, Hutson L. (G), Dobson N. (A), Caufield C. (A2)
11:04, 0 - 2, Guhle K. (G), Caufield C. (A), Slafkovsky J. (A2)
12:53, Newhook A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:08, Newhook A. (2 min),
15:24, 1 - 2, Rosen I. (G), Vilardi G. (A), Fleury H. (A2)
18:28, Anderson J. (2 min),
Preview
Outdoor game.
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 2.
Winnipeg is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Montreal have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Winnipeg: Bjugstad N.
(Chest Injury)
Morrissey J.
(Wrist Injury)
Namestnikov V.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Montreal: Demidov I.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Montembeault S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Suzuki N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Xhekaj F.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Winnipeg: Niederreiter N.
(Upper-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Winnipeg has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:61 (averaging 3:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Winnipeg against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 27:29 goals (averaging 3:3.2 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 2.99% Winnipeg Jets: 0.68%
Last Results with these Odds
Winnipeg Jets - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 41.13%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.51%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.