Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: VTB Arena (Moscow) 🌤️ ...


	Yunison Moscow		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.58	1.59
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (5.45)	4.58 ↓ (5)	1.59 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunison Moscow
21.4%

Draw
20.3%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.2%

18.7%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

18.9%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunison Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metallurg Novokuznetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunison Moscow than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Novokuznetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yunison Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Khakimov R. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)
16. Myslyayev S.	26. Petrikov Y. (A)
18. Tsyganov D. (C)	51. Mineyev M.
77. Rtishchev N.	85. Sokolov D.
11. Ryzhov K. (A)	40. Apalkov D. (A)
88. Rymarev Y. (A)	59. Perevalov A.
Line 2
82. Semykin D.	79. Kryukov T.
40. Figurin A.	14. Nurgaliyev E.
74. Govorkov M.	18. Serdyuk Y.
98. Govorkov R.	21. Vikharev D. (C)
69. Skorikov D.	72. Kazakov M.
Line 3
8. Burov M.	52. Tereshchenko S.
86. Vasilyev K.	75. Starikov L.
97. Detkov I.	28. Knyazev A.
96. Almazov N.	50. Kurbatov V.
78. Ivanov A.	10. Sheshin D.
Line 4
81. Khvostov Z.	47. Churkin V.
25. Zubov Y.	7. Puzanov A.
21. Fedyakin S.	43. Ovchinnikov D.
68. Larichev I.	94. Marushev M.
	25. Maximov K.
Substitutes
1. Chechelev D. (G)	67. Gordeichuk V. (G)
99. Grigoryev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
16:52, 0 - 1, Kazakov M. (G),
18:26, 0 - 2, Marushev M. (G), Maximov K. (A), Puzanov A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
14:29, 1 - 2, Ivanov A. (G), Govorkov R. (A), Skorikov D. (A2)
18:27, 2 - 2, Rymarev Y. (G), Tsyganov D. (A), Skorikov D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 4)
06:27, 3 - 2, Rtishchev N. (G), Ryzhov K. (A), Rymarev Y. (A2)
08:25, 3 - 3, Sheshin D. (G), Apalkov D. (A),
11:10, 3 - 4, Perevalov A. (G),
11:33, 3 - 5, Serdyuk Y. (G),
20', 3 - 6, (G),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Timrå won 4.

Recent matches Timrå is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leksand is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Timrå will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Timrå won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 54:45 (average 2.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Timrå won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31:26 (average 3.1:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunison Moscow
VHL
19.02.25	Yunison Moscow - Dynamo-Altay	3:4 penalties ✺
14.02.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Yunison Moscow	4:0 ✺
12.02.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Yunison Moscow	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Chelmet - Yunison Moscow	3:2 ✺
08.02.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yunison Moscow	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLLLW
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
19.02.25	SKA-VMF - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:3 ✺
17.02.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Omskie Krylia	7:3 ✺
10.02.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 OT ✺
08.02.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
30.09.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yunison Moscow	2:3 penalties

Yunison Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk