Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Yubileiny (Orsk)


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Yunison Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.21	4.43
	1.63	4.45	4.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.41)	4.33 ↓ (5.15)	4.41 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
57.3%

Draw
21.6%

Yunison Moscow
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

18.2%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

17.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuzhny Ural Orsk's form might have worsened.

Yunison Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yunison Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuzhny Ural Orsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunison Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yunison Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Yunison Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kuzmaul K. (G)	34. Khakimov R. (G)
44. Zhuravlyov Y. (C)	16. Myslyayev S.
25. Lyakhov A.	18. Tsyganov D. (C)
69. Maklozyan Y.	77. Rtishchev N.
87. Mingaleyev D. (A)	11. Ryzhov K. (A)
23. Alexeyev Y.	69. Skorikov D.
Line 2
24. Salnikov E.	82. Semykin D.
21. Krylov I.	40. Figurin A.
72. Rvachev V.	68. Larichev I. (A)
19. Litvinov I. (A)	21. Fedyakin S.
8. Shablovsky Z.	19. Kolesnikov S.
Line 3
57. Naumov M.	63. Rydchenko I.
18. Safonov I.	86. Vasilyev K.
77. Zakharov I.	97. Detkov I.
15. Putilov A.	96. Almazov N.
98. Kuimov Y.	78. Ivanov A.
Line 4
27. Ostrovsky S.	15. Kudryashov I.
66. Kurkin M.	99. Grigoryev N.
9. Suslov K.	83. Shvedov S.
71. Kovalchuk P.	74. Govorkov M.
Substitutes
28. Samokhvalov M.	31. Sidorov M. (G)
30. Zhigalov I. (G)	25. Zubov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
12:58, 1 - 0, Mingaleyev D. (G), Maklozyan Y. (A),
19:56, 2 - 0, Litvinov I. (G), Safonov I. (A), Shablovsky Z. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:15, 2 - 1, Rtishchev N. (G), Ryzhov K. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zenit won 2.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Zenit will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Zenit won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1578:1588 (average 78.9:79.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Zenit won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 755:714 (average 83.9:79.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
10.02.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - SKA-VMF	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:5 ✺
03.02.25	Omskie Krylia - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2 OT ✺
01.02.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 OT ✺
30.01.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- Yunison Moscow
VHL
10.02.25	Chelmet - Yunison Moscow	3:2 ✺
08.02.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Yunison Moscow	4:5 OT ✺
04.02.25	Yunison Moscow - Dizel Penza	2:5 ✺
02.02.25	Yunison Moscow - Kristall Saratov	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Yunison Moscow - CSK VVS Samara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.10.24	Yunison Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1

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