Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Yubileiny (Orsk)


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Buran Voronezh

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.82	2.64	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.68)	3.71 ↓ (3.72)	2.49 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
39.2%

Draw
24.4%

Buran Voronezh
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

24.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuzhny Ural Orsk's performance.

Buran Voronezh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buran Voronezh than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Buran Voronezh Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)	90. Isayev M. (G)
85. Lugovyak S.	95. Kolganov I.
9. Sitnikov V.	2. Shakurov Y. (C)
11. Mylnikov D.	81. Zubov Y.
91. Suslov K. (C)	24. Pavlyukov I. (A)
51. Kulyash D.	97. Detkov I.
Line 2
88. Krylov I. (A)	8. Taratunin T.
27. Ostrovsky S.	5. Vanin D.
98. Kuimov Y.	12. Dorokhov S.
15. Putilov A.	31. Bryzgalov Y.
77. Zakharov I.	66. Fattakhov V.
Line 3
24. Salnikov E.	33. Goryachev A.
18. Zotov F.	10. Solopanov N.
72. Rvachev V.	9. Sato Y.
96. Kurkin M.	96. Popov K.
16. Rubtsov S.	87. Savchenko P.
Line 4
29. Papst R.	15. Vildanov A.
10. Shindyaev K.	91. Kozlov G.
79. Timashev I. (A)	22. Shipilov A. (A)
8. Vikulin K.
Substitutes
41. Paramonov D.	20. Okoryak V. (G)
35. Sytko

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
04:14, 1 - 0, Putilov A. (G),
04:28, 1 - 1, Sato Y. (G), Detkov I. (A),
07:58, 2 - 1, Krylov I. (G), Rubtsov S. (A),
13:26, 3 - 1, Krylov I. (G), Kulyash D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 2.

Yuzhny Ural is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Buran has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Buran may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Yuzhny Ural has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 50:50. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 2.9:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Buran Voronezh	12	6	3	1	2	27:18	19
7	Orsk	11	5	2	3	1	33:21	17

Last Results with these Odds

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.07%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Buran Voronezh - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.43%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
18.01.26	Omskie Krylia - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:1 ✺
12.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 OT ✺
09.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Buran Voronezh
VHL
20.01.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Buran Voronezh	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Chelmet - Buran Voronezh	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh	5:3 ✺
12.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Molot Perm	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.10.25	Buran Voronezh - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2
22.01.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Buran Voronezh	1:5
27.10.24	Buran Voronezh - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2
06.12.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Buran Voronezh	3:4 penalties
04.11.23	Buran Voronezh - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:3
27.12.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Buran Voronezh	3:1
22.10.22	Buran Voronezh - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:3

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