Match Info

VHL

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Ugra (Khanty-Mansiysk)


	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk		Yuzhny Ural Orsk

	1	X	2
	1.34	5.66	6.68	Watch
	1.36	5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	5.33 ↑ (4.53)	6.22 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
68%

Draw
17.2%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.1%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

21.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Yugra Khanty Mansiysk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Sokhatsky V. (G)	32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
4. Yelizarov A. (A)	85. Lugovyak S.
89. Teryayev S. (C)	9. Sitnikov V.
86. Kirileichenko M.	72. Rvachev V.
81. Spiridonov Y.	91. Suslov K. (C)
37. Udot A.	77. Zakharov I.
Line 2
67. Afanasyev M.	88. Krylov I. (A)
57. Sevostyanov A.	24. Salnikov E.
33. Maklozyan Y.	11. Mylnikov D. (A)
15. Busarov G. (A)	96. Kurkin M.
66. Belyayev M.	51. Kulyash D.
Line 3
79. Savelyev A.	27. Ostrovsky S.
47. Medvedev P.	18. Zotov F.
28. Kazakov M.	98. Kuimov Y.
80. Maltsev M.	15. Putilov A.
70. Rasseikin M.	16. Rubtsov S.
Line 4
72. Savchik K.	92. Gatiyatulin I.
11. Popov A.	17. Kovalchuk P.
17. Podkorytov A.	10. Shindyaev K.
91. Makeyev A.	79. Timashev I.
	8. Vikulin K.
Substitutes
92. Gurevich I.	60. Ovcharik D. (G)
59. Sukhachyov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
14:27, 1 - 0, Makeyev A. (G), Kazakov M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:26, 1 - 1, Kuimov Y. (G), Rubtsov S. (A), Putilov A. (A2)
07:20, 2 - 1, Kazakov M. (G), Medvedev P. (A), Savelyev A. (A2)
12:58, 2 - 2, Rubtsov S. (G), Putilov A. (A), Lugovyak S. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:33, 3 - 2, Busarov G. (G), Maklozyan Y. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yugra won 4.

Yugra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yuzhny Ural's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Yuzhny Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Yugra is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Yugra will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Yugra won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 50:28. (average 3.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Yugra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:13. (average 3.7:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Orsk	11	5	2	3	1	33:21	17
20	HC Yugra	11	4	2	0	5	20:17	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
VHL
10.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties ✺
08.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Chelmet	6:3 ✺
06.01.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Rubin Tyumen	4:3 ✺
24.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
09.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Khimik	0:4 ✺
25.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Torpedo-Gorky	1:2 OT ✺
16.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
01.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:3
30.01.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:0
21.10.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:1 penalties
06.02.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:4
12.09.23	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:2
05.02.23	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	5:2
17.09.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	2:3 OT

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