Match Info

VHL

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Yubileiny (Orsk)


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Tambov

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.62	2.31
	2.66	3.85	2.29	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.76)	3.74 ↓ (3.81)	2.28 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
35.3%

Draw
24.5%

Tambov
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

23.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

25.1%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)	22. Korolev T. (G)
29. Papst R.	72. Vasin I. (A)
9. Sitnikov V.	24. Mamkin M.
11. Mylnikov D. (A)	74. Zhabreyev A.
91. Suslov K. (C)	7. Kamenev V.
51. Kulyash D.	51. Dubrovsky Y. (C)
Line 2
88. Krylov I. (A)	67. Karimov T.
27. Ostrovsky S.	57. Baranov V.
41. Paramonov D.	92. Korinevsky M. (A)
15. Putilov A.	71. Koltygin P.
77. Zakharov I.	63. Valitsky I.
Line 3
50. Pozhidaev A.	95. Pesterev V.
18. Zotov F.	78. Puzanov A.
72. Rvachev V.	84. Nizovkin M.
96. Kurkin M.	96. Pyanov E.
16. Rubtsov S.	43. Ugolnikov A.
Line 4
24. Salnikov E.	28. Bulychyov G.
92. Gatiyatulin I.	86. Kopyltsov S.
10. Shindyaev K.	87. Gorbunov Y.
79. Timashev I.	58. Tatarenko R.
8. Vikulin K.
Substitutes
35. Snytko A. (G)	60. Golovlev V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:23, 1 - 0, Zakharov I. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:43, 1 - 1, Zhabreyev A. (G), Pyanov E. (A), Vasin I. (A2)
12:46, 2 - 1, Suslov K. (G), Kulyash D. (A), Gatiyatulin I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:22, 2 - 2, Zhabreyev A. (G), Vasin I. (A), Dubrovsky Y. (A2)
09:14, 3 - 2, Kurkin M. (G), Ostrovsky S. (A), Sitnikov V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Yuzhny Ural may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:40. (average 2.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 3.2:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Orsk	11	5	2	3	1	33:21	17
15	Tambov	11	5	1	1	4	29:31	13

Last Results with these Odds

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.07%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Tambov - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.98%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
24.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
22.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Buran Voronezh	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Omskie Krylia - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL
- HC Tambov
VHL
24.01.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Tambov	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Chelmet - Tambov	5:2 ✺
20.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Tambov	5:2 ✺
16.01.26	Tambov - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:1 ✺
14.01.26	Tambov - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
23.10.25	Tambov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1
20.01.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Tambov	2:3 OT
31.10.24	Tambov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3 penalties
04.12.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Tambov	6:3
31.10.23	Tambov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2
02.12.22	Tambov - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1
15.11.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Tambov	3:4 penalties

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