Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Tambov

	1	X	2
	1.84	4.2	3.51	Watch
	1.62	4.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)	4.2 ↑ (4.1)	3.51 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
52.5%

Draw
21.6%

Tambov
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

22.2%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

24.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Chelmet - Tambov Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Chelmet will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
93. Mosharov D. (G)	22. Korolev T. (G)
18. Mikanovich D.	72. Vasin I. (A)
42. Yusupov V.	24. Mamkin M.
29. Mokin M. (A)	86. Kopyltsov S.
95. Aglamzyanov R.	7. Kamenev V.
12. Rykov A.	51. Dubrovsky Y. (C)
Line 2
48. Pronichkin A.	78. Puzanov A.
6. Smirnov N.	38. Yepishin M.
97. Matyushin A.	92. Korinevsky M. (A)
83. Gorbunov S.	71. Koltygin P.
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	63. Valitsky I.
Line 3
22. Filatov A.	95. Pesterev V.
66. Drugalya S.	6. Gromov N.
17. Yekimov N.	84. Nizovkin M.
57. Telegin N.	96. Pyanov E.
33. Rykmanov A.	43. Ugolnikov A.
Line 4
90. Klimontov K. (A)	26. Yershov I.
77. Tertyshny A.	37. Baranov Y.
16. Shen A.	87. Gorbunov Y.
46. Shaveko V.	10. Tochilkin A.
36. Shubin D.
Substitutes
30. Utenkov D. (G)	60. Golovlev V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:33, 1 - 0, Filatov A. (G), Gorbunov S. (A),
07:59, 2 - 0, Rykov A. (G), Mokin M. (A),
16:08, 2 - 1, Kamenev V. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
10:00, 3 - 1, Aglamzyanov R. (G), Rykmanov A. (A), Rykov A. (A2)
16:03, 4 - 1, Matyushin A. (G), Gorbunov S. (A), Zinovyev I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
14:56, 4 - 2, Baranov Y. (G),
19:53, 5 - 2, Gorbunov S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 4.

Chelmet has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tambov is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Tambov has had a series of home games.

Chelmet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:25. (average 3.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 3.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
15	Tambov	11	5	1	1	4	29:31	13
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.49%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Tambov - the odds 3.34 are the expected chance of winning is 27.28%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
20.01.26	Chelmet - Rostov	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Chelmet - Buran Voronezh	1:3 ✺
14.01.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	4:5 penalties ✺
12.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	5:1 ✺
10.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWLW
- HC Tambov
VHL
20.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Tambov	5:2 ✺
16.01.26	Tambov - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:1 ✺
14.01.26	Tambov - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
12.01.26	Tambov - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2 ✺
10.01.26	Tambov - Izhstal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.10.25	Tambov - Chelmet	3:4
18.01.25	Chelmet - Tambov	4:1
02.11.24	Tambov - Chelmet	2:1 penalties
06.12.23	Chelmet - Tambov	4:1
02.11.23	Tambov - Chelmet	2:3
30.11.22	Tambov - Chelmet	3:4 penalties
17.11.22	Chelmet - Tambov	1:3

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