Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		Tambov

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.37	3.81	Watch
	1.68	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)	4.19 ↑ (4.13)	3.78 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
53.8%

Draw
21.9%

Tambov
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

22.1%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Gornyak UGMK - Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
93. Romashkin P. (G)	22. Korolev T. (G)
90. Nekrasov N. (A)	72. Vasin I. (A)
3. Zubarev A.	24. Mamkin M.
7. Gordin A.	74. Zhabreyev A.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)	7. Kamenev V.
19. Chernikov Y.	51. Dubrovsky Y. (C)
Line 2
85. Zhuravlyov Y.	57. Baranov V.
72. Trofimov Y.	38. Yepishin M.
76. Kashtanov A.	92. Korinevsky M. (A)
14. Makhrin M. (A)	71. Koltygin P.
44. Lukhovskoy N.	63. Valitsky I.
Line 3
26. Ishimnikov N.	95. Pesterev V.
83. Karpovich D.	6. Gromov N.
29. Khremkin K.	84. Nizovkin M.
18. Sushchev V.	96. Pyanov E.
32. Borisov S.	43. Ugolnikov A.
Line 4
91. Malorosiyanov D.	78. Puzanov A.
4. Bolshakov M.	86. Kopyltsov S.
96. Miller N.	87. Gorbunov Y.
87. Loza I.	39. Ivanov M.
79. Tarasov M.
Substitutes
35. Tulinov N. (G)	60. Golovlev V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:31, 0 - 1, Korinevsky M. (G), Valitsky I. (A), Mamkin M. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
02:21, 1 - 1, Sushchev V. (G), Khremkin K. (A), Borisov S. (A2)
04:14, 2 - 1, Gordin A. (G), Zaytsev O. (A), Chernikov Y. (A2)
04:58, 3 - 1, Makhrin M. (G), Kashtanov A. (A), Zhuravlyov Y. (A2)
09:33, 4 - 1, Kashtanov A. (G), Makhrin M. (A), Zhuravlyov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:44, 4 - 2, Nizovkin M. (G), Ugolnikov A. (A), Pesterev V. (A2)
18:58, 5 - 2, Khremkin K. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4.

Gornyak-UGMK is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tambov is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is the team to beat.

We predict that Tambov will win today's game, with odds of 3.63.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 67:39. (average 3.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 3.5:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
15	Tambov	11	5	1	1	4	29:31	13

Last Results with these Odds

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.49%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Tambov - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 25.44%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
18.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov	1:4 ✺
16.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh	5:3 ✺
12.01.26	Omskie Krylia - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 penalties ✺
10.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3 OT ✺
08.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- HC Tambov
VHL
16.01.26	Tambov - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:1 ✺
14.01.26	Tambov - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
12.01.26	Tambov - Toros Neftekamsk	4:2 ✺
10.01.26	Tambov - Izhstal	2:1 ✺
24.12.25	AKM - Tambov	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
29.10.25	Tambov - Gornyak-UGMK	1:5
16.01.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Tambov	3:4 OT
04.11.24	Tambov - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 penalties
10.12.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Tambov	5:3
04.11.23	Tambov - Gornyak-UGMK	2:6
26.11.22	Tambov - Gornyak-UGMK	5:1
21.11.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Tambov	7:0

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