Match Info

National League - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Swiss Life Arena (Zürich)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	MySports, MySports


	ZSC Lions		Fribourg-Gottéron

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.75	3.20	Watch
	1.80	4.75	3.30
	1.81	4.35	3.35
	1.80	4.21	3.58
	1.74	4.67	3.53	Watch
	1.76	4.10	3.50
	1.79	4.60	3.70
	1.76	4.40	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.84)	4.48 ↑ (4.38)	3.45 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ZSC Lions
52.1%

Draw
20.8%

Fribourg-Gottéron
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

21.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

22.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ZSC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Fribourg-Gottéron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

ZSC Lions - Fribourg Gottéron Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ZSC Lions won 0.

ZSC Lions arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Fribourg-Gottéron shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Fribourg-Gottéron could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Fribourg-Gottéron has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

ZSC Lions is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, ZSC Lions has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:39 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for ZSC Lions against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 24:19 goals (averaging 2.4:1.9 per game).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Zurich: 23.53% Fribourg: 9.18%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Zurich	9	7	2	0	0	37:20	25
4	Fribourg	10	4	2	1	3	34:24	17

Last Results with these Odds

ZSC Lions - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.69%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Fribourg-Gottéron - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.01%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ZSC Lions
Swiss National League Hockey
09.10.26	Lugano - ZSC Lions	2:3 OT ✺
03.10.26	ZSC Lions - Lausanne HC	3:2 AET ✺
29.09.26	ZSC Lions - Biel	6:3 ✺
26.09.26	ZSC Lions - EHC Kloten	3:2 ✺
25.09.26	Ambrì-Piotta - ZSC Lions	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- HC Fribourg-Gotteron
Swiss National League Hockey
08.10.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Ajoie	7:2 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
06.10.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Nitra	6:1 ✺
Swiss National League Hockey
03.10.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Ambrì-Piotta	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	EHC Kloten - Fribourg-Gottéron	1:4 ✺
29.09.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Bern	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
24.01.26	ZSC Lions - Fribourg-Gottéron	3:4 penalties
20.12.25	Fribourg-Gottéron - ZSC Lions	4:2
24.10.25	ZSC Lions - Fribourg-Gottéron	1:2 OT
23.09.25	Fribourg-Gottéron - ZSC Lions	3:2 penalties
14.02.25	ZSC Lions - Fribourg-Gottéron	2:3 OT
03.01.25	Fribourg-Gottéron - ZSC Lions	4:2
02.11.24	ZSC Lions - Fribourg-Gottéron	2:1 penalties

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