Match Info

VHL

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: CSKA Arena (Moscow)


	Zvezda Moscow		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.6	2.13
	2.78	4.03	2.17	Watch
	2.71	3.84	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.43)	3.82 ↓ (4.06)	2.14 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
32.9%

Draw
24.1%

Izhstal
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

23.1%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

23.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zvezda Moscow's form might have worsened.

Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Izhstal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Gluschenko R. (G)	43. Volkov G. (G)
3. Sidorov M. (A)	81. Glinsky M.
8. Bobryashov N.	26. Petrikov Y. (A)
77. Solovyov Y.	17. Dyuryagin D. (A)
98. Pankratov S. (A)	10. Astashevsky S.
42. Savvateyev V.	41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 2
6. Gordeyev M.	50. Zhdanov Y.
48. Barantsev D.	7. Kudryashov I.
62. Shalyshkin N.	60. Yakovlev P.
19. Prokhorov A. (C)	27. Pukelo K.
23. Khulapov D.	78. Sokolov S.
Line 3
32. Rogov I.	11. Slepkov I.
80. Barabosha A.	23. Glebov G. (C)
52. Poroshkov D.	29. Kruzhenkov Y.
75. Averochkin M.	57. Yepishchev I.
79. Dronyk V.	39. Kovalyov A.
Line 4
82. Smyshlyayev P.	70. Shilov A.
39. Kuzminov Y.	3. Yuzlenko Y.
95. Vasin M.	21. Pugachyov A.
56. Vlasenko D.	36. Poyarkov D.
	59. Dolgopyatov N.
Substitutes
31. Novozhilov I. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:35, 1 - 0, Barantsev D. (G), Khulapov D. (A), Gordeyev M. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
17:42, 2 - 0, Vlasenko D. (G), Barabosha A. (A), Kuzminov Y. (A2)
18:02, 3 - 0, Prokhorov A. (G), Shalyshkin N. (A),
19:56, 4 - 0, Solovyov Y. (G), Savvateyev V. (A), Pankratov S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:36, 4 - 1, Dyuryagin D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 2.

Zvezda Moscow is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Izhstal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:44. (average 2.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 3:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.47%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
15.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Molot Perm	2:3 penalties ✺
07.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 penalties ✺
05.12.25	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 ✺
03.12.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
15.12.25	Khimik - Izhstal	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Izhstal	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 ✺
03.12.25	Izhstal - Khimik	1:2 penalties ✺
01.12.25	Izhstal - Torpedo-Gorky	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.12.25	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
16.03.25	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	3:4 OT
05.09.24	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	1:2
17.12.23	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	4:3 penalties
27.10.23	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	2:1
09.12.22	Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal	3:0
06.11.22	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	4:3 penalties

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