Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: CSKA Arena (Moscow) 🌤️ ...


	Zvezda Moscow		Rubin Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.82	2.73	Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.55)	3.79 ↑ (3.72)	2.62 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
40.6%

Draw
24.3%

Rubin Tyumen
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.6%

24.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

26.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zvezda Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Tyumen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Rubin (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rubin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Novozhilov I. (G)	90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)
3. Sidorov M. (A)	55. Stikhanovsky M.
48. Barantsev D.	12. Lyutov D.
56. Vlasenko D.	27. Davydov D.
98. Pankratov S. (A)	9. Ivanov S.
77. Solovyov Y.	80. Koshurnikov K.
Line 2
49. Bryutov Y.	48. Isaev I.
8. Bobryashov N.	28. Tsyganov D.
62. Shalyshkin N.	53. Voevodin D.
19. Prokhorov A. (C)	10. Petrakov I.
23. Khulapov D.	23. Lazarev M.
Line 3
6. Gordeyev M.	63. Perelyavev S.
80. Barabosha A.	35. Vdovin Y.
42. Savvateyev V.	43. Voronkov P.
75. Averochkin M.	57. Kanitsky Y.
87. Yapparov Y.	8. Bryutov N.
Line 4
32. Rogov I.	76. Kartashov A.
79. Dronyk V.	78. Meshkov P.
95. Vasin M.	85. Styozhkin I.
70. Yanchenko I.	3. Ivanov Y. D.
Substitutes
45. Gluschenko R. (G)	1. Gromovik Y. (G)
	66. Piliya D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:00, 0 - 1, Meshkov P. (G), Styozhkin I. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:30, 1 - 1, Savvateyev V. (G), Prokhorov A. (A), Khulapov D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
17:23, 1 - 2, Voronkov P. (G),
19:41, 1 - 3, Davydov D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 3.

In recent matches, Zvezda Moscow has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rubin is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zvezda Moscow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 42:50. (average 2.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 2.5:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
17	Rubin Tyumen	16	3	5	2	6	37:40	18
23	Zvezda Moscow	17	3	4	1	9	42:53	15

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.63%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
21.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Khimik	3:5 ✺
09.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Zvezda Moscow	5:2 ✺
27.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Zvezda Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWLW
- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
21.01.26	Khimik - Rubin Tyumen	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Rubin Tyumen	5:4 ✺
14.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:1 ✺
12.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
25.10.25	Rubin Tyumen - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
10.01.25	Rubin Tyumen - Zvezda Moscow	2:4
09.11.24	Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen	6:3
07.12.23	Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 OT
08.11.23	Rubin Tyumen - Zvezda Moscow	4:3
03.12.22	Rubin Tyumen - Zvezda Moscow	3:0
19.11.22	Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen	2:5

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