Match Info

VHL

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ledovyy dvorets (Voskresensk)


	Khimik		Rubin Tyumen

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.54	4.34	Watch
	1.55	4.3	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.07)	4.42 ↑ (3.74)	4.3 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik
57.9%

Draw
20.8%

Rubin Tyumen
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

24.4%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.8%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimik's performance.

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Tyumen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Tyumen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Khimik - Rubin Tyumen Predictions

Users Predictions: Khimik will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Khimik will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Nikolayev D. (G)	30. Lozebnikov D. (G)
43. Krasnichuk A.	55. Stikhanovsky M.
78. Bychkov R.	12. Lyutov D.
99. Filin Y. (A)	27. Davydov D.
8. Krovyakov M. (C)	9. Ivanov S.
28. Pashin A.	80. Koshurnikov K.
Line 2
5. Rukavishnikov R. (A)	48. Isaev I.
13. Gavrilov I.	28. Tsyganov D.
12. Buruyanov N.	53. Voevodin D.
97. Kholodilin N.	10. Petrakov I.
59. Kuzmin G.	23. Lazarev M.
Line 3
87. Dmitriyev S.	63. Perelyavev S.
32. Maryshev A.	7. Brinkmann A.
2. Varyushkin Y.	43. Voronkov P.
6. Ryabov I.	57. Kanitsky Y.
92. Yarovoi S.	8. Bryutov N.
Line 4
93. Matveyev V.	76. Kartashov A.
36. Lukin K.	66. Piliya D.
7. Kukstel P.	85. Styozhkin I.
76. Lukyantsev S.	78. Meshkov P.
Substitutes
23. Ovchinnikov G.	90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)
31. Volokhin Y. (G)	3. Ivanov Y. D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
14:24, 1 - 0, Gavrilov I. (G), Kholodilin N. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
14:08, 2 - 0, Filin Y. (G), Krovyakov M. (A),
19:42, 3 - 0, Filin Y. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 2.

Khimik is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rubin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Khimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Khimik has had a series of away games.

Recently, Rubin has had a series of home games.

In this match, Khimik is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Khimik will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 41:52. (average 2.1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Khimik won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 2.3:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Khimik	13	6	2	2	3	45:26	18
22	Rubin Tyumen	10	2	3	0	5	22:27	10

Last Results with these Odds

Khimik - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Khimik
VHL
19.01.26	Khimik - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:1 ✺
15.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Khimik	3:5 ✺
05.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Khimik	4:2 ✺
27.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Khimik	0:4 ✺
25.12.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Khimik	5:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
19.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Rubin Tyumen	5:4 ✺
14.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:1 ✺
12.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
08.01.26	Rubin Tyumen - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.10.25	Rubin Tyumen - Khimik	3:2 penalties
16.03.25	Rubin Tyumen - Khimik	5:1
09.09.24	Khimik - Rubin Tyumen	2:3
16.02.24	Rubin Tyumen - Khimik	0:2
03.09.23	Khimik - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 penalties
25.01.23	Khimik - Rubin Tyumen	4:6
27.09.22	Rubin Tyumen - Khimik	3:2

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