Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Ässät U20		JYP U20

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.5	3.45
	1.67	4.36	3.86	Watch
	1.62	4.4	4.11
	1.62	4.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	4.37 ↓ (4.4)	3.81 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ässät U20
55.6%

Draw
20.7%

JYP U20
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

20.9%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22.6%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ässät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

JYP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP U20 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Ässät U20 - JYP U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
12:16, 1 - 0, Kim A. (G), Kostilainen S. (A), Aijala E. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:59, 2 - 0, Kim A. (G), Kostilainen S. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
09:55, 3 - 0, Leppanen H. (G), Pinola T. (A),
11:34, 3 - 1, Keltikangas O. (G), Viinikainen J. (A),
14:19, 4 - 1, Koski L. (G), Aijala E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 3.

Recent performances by Ässät U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

JYP U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ässät U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, JYP U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ässät U20 is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:52. (average 3.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ässät U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 3.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.10.25	Ässät U20 - Jokerit U20	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Ässät U20	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	Ässät U20 - Tappara U20	4:5 penalties ✺
11.10.25	Ässät U20 - HIFK U20	7:1 ✺
10.10.25	Pelicans U20 - Ässät U20	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- JYP U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.10.25	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	4:3 ✺
18.10.25	KooKoo U20 - JYP U20	1:2 OT ✺
17.10.25	JYP U20 - Kärpät U20	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	4:3 penalties ✺
11.10.25	JYP U20 - Tappara U20	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
06.09.25	JYP U20 - Ässät U20	2:3
29.09.24	JYP U20 - Ässät U20	4:2
06.09.24	Ässät U20 - JYP U20	3:0
23.02.24	JYP U20 - Ässät U20	3:4 OT
18.11.23	JYP U20 - Ässät U20	3:2 penalties
24.02.23	JYP U20 - Ässät U20	2:3
17.09.22	JYP U20 - Ässät U20	5:2

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