Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	JYP U20		Ilves U20

	1	X	2
	2.2	4.2	2.15
	2.6	3.96	2.19
	1.66	4.38	3.88	Watch
	2.5	3.88	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.45)	4.11 ↑ (3.88)	2.63 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JYP U20
41.7%

Draw
22.7%

Ilves U20
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

23.6%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

23.9%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP U20 than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

JYP U20 - Ilves U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:42, 1 - 0, Keltikangas O. (G), Lahtinen O. (A), Sinivuori E. (A2)
16:06, 2 - 0, Vilander V. (G), Koskela L. (A), Ilvonen E. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:19, 3 - 0, Koivu N. (G), Immonen T. (A),
12:49, 3 - 1, Hietanen J. (G), Poikela M. (A),
17:16, 4 - 1, Veiksola S. (G), Viinikainen J. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
04:17, 4 - 2, Laitinen J. (G), Myllyniemi M. (A), Karttu K. (A2)
09:39, 4 - 3, Poikela M. (G), Hietanen J. (A), Tukio O. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 4.

JYP U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ilves U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

JYP U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 72:41. (average 4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 3.6:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
18.10.25	KooKoo U20 - JYP U20	1:2 OT ✺
17.10.25	JYP U20 - Kärpät U20	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	4:3 penalties ✺
11.10.25	JYP U20 - Tappara U20	2:4 ✺
10.10.25	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWWLW
- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
18.10.25	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	2:3 penalties ✺
17.10.25	Ilves U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:1 ✺
11.10.25	Ilves U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 OT ✺
10.10.25	Ilves U20 - HPK U20	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
04.10.25	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	2:1
24.10.24	Ilves U20 - JYP U20	3:2 penalties
22.09.24	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	2:1
01.12.23	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	5:3
06.10.23	Ilves U20 - JYP U20	3:10
10.09.22	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	3:4
05.11.21	Ilves U20 - JYP U20	2:6

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