Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	JYP U20		Lukko U20

	1	X	2
	2.4	4.4	1.95
	2.37	3.88	2.42
	5.26	4.87	1.45	Watch
	2.58	3.88	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.53)	4.26 ↑ (4.07)	2.01 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JYP U20
30.2%

Draw
22.4%

Lukko U20
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

22.4%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

20.4%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

JYP U20 - Lukko U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
01:59, 0 - 1, Julkunen A. (G), Leppa M. (A), Vatjus M. (A2)
09:44, 1 - 1, Ilvonen E. (G), Viinikainen J. (A), Keltikangas O. (A2)
12:40, 2 - 1, Koivu N. (G), Tiilikainen J. (A), Vapola M. (A2)
17:13, 2 - 2, Sarasmaki O. (G), Kahkonen J. (A), Julkunen A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
19:19, 2 - 3, Sahlstedt L. (G), Sarasmaki O. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:25, 3 - 3, Frantila A. (G), Ilvonen E. (A), Vilander V. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Vatjus M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Keltikangas O. (Penalty Shot),
2, Vechet P. (Penalty Shot),
2, Immonen T. (Penalty Shot),
3, Julkunen A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Vilander V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Floris J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tiilikainen J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Tukiainen J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Ervasti A. (Penalty Shot),
6, Immonen T. (Penalty Shot),
6, Tukiainen J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lukko U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lukko U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that JYP U20 will win today's game, with odds of 3.49.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 59:48. (average 3.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 3.8:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
11.10.25	JYP U20 - Tappara U20	2:4 ✺
10.10.25	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	0:5 ✺
04.10.25	JYP U20 - Ilves U20	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - JYP U20	5:1 ✺
28.09.25	JYP U20 - TPS U20	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LWWLW
- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
11.10.25	Kärpät U20 - Lukko U20	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Lukko U20 - RoKi U20	0:4 ✺
03.10.25	HIFK U20 - Lukko U20	3:6 ✺
28.09.25	Lukko U20 - Jokerit U20	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Lukko U20	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
11.01.25	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	0:3
06.12.24	Lukko U20 - JYP U20	4:1
10.12.23	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	5:4 penalties
04.11.22	Lukko U20 - JYP U20	1:3
05.02.22	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	3:2 penalties
18.12.21	Lukko U20 - JYP U20	4:2
06.11.21	JYP U20 - Lukko U20	0:1

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