Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	KalPa U20		Pelicans U20

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.6	2.1
	2.55	4	1.95
	2.44	4.26	2.17
	2.64	4.39	2.08	Watch
	2.6	4	2.05
	2.49	4.05	2.18
	2.7	4.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.72)	4.21 ↓ (4.44)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KalPa U20
35.3%

Draw
21.4%

Pelicans U20
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

20.7%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

22.6%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KalPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Pelicans U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pelicans U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
18:35, 1 - 0, Pakarinen R. (G), Hirvonen D. (A), Pulkkanen A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:34, 1 - 1, Pohjalainen A. (G), Paqvalin J. (A), Kolehmainen E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
14:41, 1 - 2, Pohjalainen A. (G), Paqvalin A. (A), Paqvalin J. (A2)
19:39, 2 - 2, Hintikka J. (G), Pulkkanen A. (A), Hirvonen D. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Pohjalainen A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Pakarinen R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Paqvalin A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kekarainen S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Alalauri S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Sundgren M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Paqvalin J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Pulkkanen A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Baf J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Pelicans U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

KalPa U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pelicans U20 has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that KalPa U20 will win today's game, with odds of 2.71.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 61:69. (average 3.1:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, KalPa U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 3.3:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Pelicans Lahti U20	10	7	0	0	3	37:26	21
9	KalPa U20	10	2	5	0	3	33:31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
06.03.26	KalPa U20 - Jokerit U20	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	5:1 ✺
21.02.26	KalPa U20 - Tappara U20	4:3 OT ✺
19.02.26	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	2:5 ✺
14.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - KalPa U20	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWLW
- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
06.03.26	HIFK U20 - Pelicans U20	6:3 ✺
28.02.26	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	5:1 ✺
27.02.26	KooKoo U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Ässät U20 - Pelicans U20	2:1 OT ✺
19.02.26	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.02.26	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	5:1
19.02.26	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	2:5
19.12.25	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	2:3
06.04.25	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	2:5
04.01.25	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	5:0
20.10.24	KalPa U20 - Pelicans U20	3:4
07.10.23	Pelicans U20 - KalPa U20	1:5

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