Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Tappara U20		Pelicans U20

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.1	3.3
	1.81	4.32	3.1
	1.72	4.8	3.36	Watch
	1.7	4.33	3.25
	1.78	4.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.56)	4.34 ↑ (4.06)	3.28 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tappara U20
51.8%

Draw
20.7%

Pelicans U20
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

22.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

24%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tappara U20's performance.

Pelicans U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pelicans U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tappara U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pelicans U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tappara U20 - Pelicans U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:03, 0 - 1, Koskinen L. (G), Kokko A. (A), Sivonen V. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:33, 1 - 1, Louvanto L. (G), Jarventie M. (A),
08:02, 1 - 2, Saharinen S. (G), Paqvalin A. (A),
12:17, 2 - 2, Jarventie E. (G), Kuisma J. (A), Katolicky S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:12, 3 - 2, Rajala J. (G), Kotajarvi J. (A),
14:24, 3 - 3, Baf J. (G), Sipila S. (A), Koskinen L. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
6, (Penalty Shot),
6, (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tappara U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tappara U20 has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Tappara U20 will win today's game, with odds of 2.52.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:65. (average 2.9:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tappara U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 3.5:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Pelicans Lahti U20	10	7	0	0	3	37:26	21
8	Tappara U20	11	6	0	2	3	34:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

Tappara U20 - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.92%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Pelicans U20 - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.43%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
13.02.26	Tappara U20 - HIFK U20	4:1 ✺
30.01.26	Tappara U20 - Jokerit U20	3:4 OT ✺
24.01.26	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	6:1 ✺
17.01.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	1:5 ✺
16.01.26	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL
- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
13.02.26	HPK U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	RoKi U20 - Pelicans U20	3:5 ✺
30.01.26	Kärpät U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 ✺
23.01.26	Pelicans U20 - HPK U20	1:5 ✺
17.01.26	Pelicans U20 - HPK U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
13.09.25	Pelicans U20 - Tappara U20	5:1
10.01.25	Tappara U20 - Pelicans U20	1:4
07.12.24	Pelicans U20 - Tappara U20	6:2
26.01.24	Tappara U20 - Pelicans U20	2:1
27.10.23	Pelicans U20 - Tappara U20	2:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.23	Pelicans U20 - Tappara U20	1:4
Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.03.23	Tappara U20 - Pelicans U20	4:1

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