Match Info

FLYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Meta Apex (Las Vegas, NV)


	Alessandro Costa		Stewart Nicoll

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Alessandro Costa
77.4%

Stewart Nicoll
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandro Costa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Stewart Nicoll has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

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In this match, Costa is a strong favorite.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandro Costa
MMA
13.09.25	Alessandro Costa - Alden Coria	Coria A. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
07.09.24	Matt Schnell - Alessandro Costa	Canceled ✺
04.05.24	Alessandro Costa - Kevin Borjas	Costa A. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
11.11.23	Steve Erceg - Alessandro Costa	Erceg S. win ✺
17.06.23	Jimmy Flick - Alessandro Costa	Costa A. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
- Stewart Nicoll
MMA
11.10.25	Lucas Rocha - Stewart Nicoll	Rocha L. win ✺
17.08.24	Stewart Nicoll - Jesus Aguilar	Aguilar J. S. - 1st Round TKO ✺

Alessandro Costa - Stewart Nicoll: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide