Match Info
NRL - Round 11Date: 18 May 2025, SundayLocation: GIO Stadium (Canberra)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Australia | Fox League, NRL |
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Canberra Raiders |
|
Gold Coast Titans |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.28 |
29 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.3 |
21 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.35 |
25 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.36 |
22.41 |
3.41 |
 Watch |
 |
1.31 |
20 |
3.76 |
|
 |
1.35 |
25 |
3.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.42) |
23.74 ↑
(23.51) |
3.6 ↑
(2.98) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Canberra Raiders
70.2% | Draw
3.9% | Gold Coast Titans
25.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canberra Raiders's performance.Gold Coast Titans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gold Coast Titans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canberra Raiders that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gold Coast Titans than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gold Coast Titans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Weekes K.
| 2. Khan-Pereira A.
|
2. Tamale S.
| 4. JoJo
|
3.  Timoko M.
| 5. Sami P.
|
4. Kris S.
| 6. Brimson A.
|
5. Savage X.
| 7. Campbell J.
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6. Strange E.
| 8.  Fotuaika M.
|
7. Fogarty J.
| 9. Verrills S.
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8. Horsburgh C.
| 10. Campbell-Gillard R.
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9. Starling T.
| 12. Fermor B.
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10. Tapine J. (C)
| 13. Faasuamaleaui T. (C)
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11. Young H.
| 14. Foran K.
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12. Hosking Z.
| 16. Randall C.
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13.  Smithies M.
| 18. Francis T.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Pattie O.
| 1. De Groot J.
|
15.  Sasagi S.
| 11.  Haas K.
|
16. Papalii J.
| 15.  Jolliffe J.
|
17. Mariota A.
| 17. Pahulu J.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Stuart R.
| . Hasler D.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (18 - 12)
- 5', JoJo (Try),
- 6', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
- 13', Tamale S. (Try),
- 23', Timoko M. (Try),
- 27', Savage X. (Try),
- 34', Pahulu J. (Try),
- 35', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Hosking Z. (Try),
- 40', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (22 - 12)
- 41', Savage X. (Try),
- 43', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 46', Young H. (Try),
- 52', Timoko M. (Try),
- 53', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', JoJo (Try),
- 60', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Savage X. (Try),
- 77', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Fotuaika M. (Try),
- 80', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 16).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 4.Canberra is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Gold Coast is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Canberra is a strong favorite.We predict that Canberra will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 515:405. (average 25.8:20.3).Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 224:225. (average 22.4:22.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 20.04.25 | Gold Coast Titans - Canberra Raiders | 20:30 | | 14.04.24 | Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans | 21:20 OT | | 01.07.23 | Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans | 26:22 | | 30.07.22 | Gold Coast Titans - Canberra Raiders | 24:36 | | 26.03.22 | Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans | 14:22 | | 03.07.21 | Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans | 6:44 | | 03.04.21 | Gold Coast Titans - Canberra Raiders | 4:20 |
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