Match Info

NRL - Round 9

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cbus Super Stadium (Gold Coast)

Referee: Atkins G. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Gold Coast Titans		Canberra Raiders

	1	X	2
	1.6	26	2.4
	1.65	18	2.5
	1.56	20.07	2.59	Watch
	1.6	23	2.4
	1.6	26	2.4
	2.18	27	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.17)	23.35 ↓ (26)	2.33 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Titans
55.5%

Draw
4%

Canberra Raiders
40.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.7%

3.6%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

3.7%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Titans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gold Coast Titans's performance.

Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canberra Raiders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Titans than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gold Coast Titans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canberra Raiders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gold Coast Titans - Canberra Raiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. K	1. Weekes K.
2. Faeamani S.	2. Tamale S.
3. JoJo	3. Kris S.
4. Brimson A.	4. Timoko M.
5. Sami P.	5. Stuart J.
6. Ilias L.	7. Sanders E.
7. Campbell J.	8. Horsburgh C.
8. Morrin K.	9. Starling T.
9. Verrills S.	10. Tapine J.
10. Faasuamaleaui T.	12. Sasagi S.
11. Hau A.	15. Laurie D.
12. Fermor B.	16. Smithies M.
13. Randall C.	17. Roddy J.
Substitutes
14. Pascoe O.	11. Mariota A.
15. Bai C.	13. Brailey J.
16. Fotuaika M.	14. Stewart C.
17. Haas K.	18. Pattie O.
18. De Groot J.	19. Uta J.
19. Patston J.	20. Alaia E.
Coaches
. Hannay J.	. Stuart R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 16)
5', Sasagi S. (Try),
6', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
13', Sasagi S. (Try),
15', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
21', Weekes K. (Try),
23', Sanders E. (Missed Conversion),
27', Sami P. (Try),
29', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (6 - 12)
50', Tamale S. (Try),
52', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
66', JoJo (Try),
67', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
80', Kris S. (Try),
80+1', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 409:519. (average 20.5:26).

Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 160:255. (average 17.8:28.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Titans
Australian NRL
18.04.26	New Zealand Warriors - Gold Coast Titans	28:20 ✺
12.04.26	Parramatta Eels - Gold Coast Titans	10:52 ✺
04.04.26	Gold Coast Titans - Brisbane Broncos	12:26 ✺
29.03.26	Gold Coast Titans - St. George Illawarra Dragons	22:14 ✺
22.03.26	North Queensland Cowboys - Gold Coast Titans	30:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWL
- Canberra Raiders
Australian NRL
23.04.26	Wests Tigers - Canberra Raiders	33:14 ✺
17.04.26	Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm	26:22 ✺
11.04.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canberra Raiders	34:36 ✺
05.04.26	Newcastle Knights - Canberra Raiders	32:12 ✺
29.03.26	Canberra Raiders - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	22:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
18.05.25	Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans	40:24
20.04.25	Gold Coast Titans - Canberra Raiders	20:30
14.04.24	Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans	21:20 OT
01.07.23	Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans	26:22
30.07.22	Gold Coast Titans - Canberra Raiders	24:36
26.03.22	Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans	14:22
03.07.21	Canberra Raiders - Gold Coast Titans	6:44

Gold Coast Titans - Canberra Raiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide