Match Info
Super League - Round 25Date: 28 August 2026, FridayLocation: Wheldon Road (Castleford)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
 International | Superleague+ |
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 |
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Castleford Tigers |
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Catalans Dragons |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.87 |
19 |
2 |
 Watch |
 |
2.1 |
15 |
1.8 |
|
 |
1.8 |
18 |
2.15 |
|
 |
1.83 |
17 |
2 |
Watch |
 |
1.75 |
18 |
2.2 |
Watch |
 |
1.92 |
22 |
1.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.2) |
18.17 ↓
(19) |
2.02 ↑
(1.67) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castleford Tigers
49.1% | Draw
5.1% | Catalans Dragons
45.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Castleford Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castleford Tigers's performance.Catalans Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catalans Dragons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castleford Tigers than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castleford Tigers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catalans Dragons than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catalans Dragons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Castleford Tigers - Catalans Dragons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
6.  Asi D.
| 1. Staines C.
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8. Atoni R.
| 3. Cotric N.
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9.  Hood L.
| 6. Sexton T.
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10.  Lawler G.
| 7. Dodd L.
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11. Lane J.
| 9.  Da Costa A.
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12. Mellor A.
| 10. Bousquet J.
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13. Stimson J.
| 13. Garcia B.
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21.  Senior L.
| 16. Allen J.
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35. Laulu-Togagae P.
| 24. Aispuro-Bichet G.
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39. Brown J.
| 26. Tison U.
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42. Brand K.
| 27. Clement M.
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43. McNamara B.
| 28. Darrelatour L.
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44. Sarbah D.
| 33. Rogers-Smith E.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Greacen B.
| 12. Condon B.
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25. Hall S.
| 15. Descalzi G.
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27. Robb C.
| 18. Goudemand M.
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36. Dupree T.
| 21. Laguerre M.
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41.  Vaalepu L.
| 30. Lis A.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 12)
- 8', Sexton T. (Try),
- 9', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Rogers-Smith E. (Try),
- 21', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
- 37', Vaalepu L. (Try),
- 38', McNamara B. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 22)
- 47', Darrelatour L. (Try),
- 71', Dodd L. (Try),
- 72', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Sexton T. (Try),
- 75', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+15', Condon B. (Try),
- 80+16', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 1.Both teams are currently in poor form.Castleford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 360:495. (average 18:24.8).Including home matches between the teams, Castleford won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 202:178. (average 20.2:17.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super League Rugby | | | 13.06.26 | Catalans Dragons - Castleford Tigers | 34:28 | | 23.08.25 | Catalans Dragons - Castleford Tigers | 36:4 | | 22.03.25 | Castleford Tigers - Catalans Dragons | 4:26 | | 21.07.24 | Castleford Tigers - Catalans Dragons | 24:18 | | 16.03.24 | Catalans Dragons - Castleford Tigers | 40:14 | | 12.05.23 | Castleford Tigers - Catalans Dragons | 22:46 | | 01.04.23 | Catalans Dragons - Castleford Tigers | 22:18 |
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