Match Info
Super League - Round 22Date: 7 August 2026, FridayLocation: Wheldon Road (Castleford)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
 World | Superleague+ |
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Castleford Tigers |
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Hull Kingston Rovers |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-20)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castleford Tigers
11.8% | Draw
2.6% | Hull Kingston Rovers
85.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castleford Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castleford Tigers's form might have worsened.Hull Kingston Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hull Kingston Rovers's recent form is better than expected.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:34 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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6.  Asi D.
| 2.  Davies T.
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9.  Hood L.
| 3.  Hiku P.
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11. Lane J.
| 4. Gildart O.
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12. Mellor A.
| 5. Burgess J.
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13. Stimson J.
| 7.  May T.
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21.  Senior L.
| 8. Sue S.
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23. Mapapalangi K.
| 9. Litten J.
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24. Windley J.
| 11. Hadley D.
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32. Hirst G.
| 12. Batchelor J.
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35. Laulu-Togagae P.
| 13. Minchella E.
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36. Dupree T.
| 14. Broadbent J.
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39. Brown J.
| 16. Whitbread J.
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40. Sharpe T.
| 34. Hampshire R.
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| Substitutes |
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8. Atoni R.
| 10. Amone T.
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10. Lawler G.
| 15. Luckley S.
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25. Hall S.
| 17.  Martin R.
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27. Robb C.
| 19. Lawton K.
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| 20.  Dezaria J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 10)
- 11', Litten J. (Try),
- 12', Hampshire R. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Davies T. (Try),
- 2nd Half (0 - 34)
- 46', May T. (Try),
- 48', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Burgess J. (Try),
- 53', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Hiku P. (Try),
- 56', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', May T. (Try),
- 59', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Davies T. (Try),
- 68', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Martin R. (Try),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 0.Castleford is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Hull Kingston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Hull Kingston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Hull Kingston is the obvious favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 387:503. (average 19.4:25.2).Including home matches between the teams, Castleford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 167:161. (average 20.9:20.1).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | W | D | L | L | | Pts |
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| 5 | Hull KR | 23 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 688:383 | 30 |
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| 9 | Castleford | 23 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 408:716 | 16 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super League Rugby | | | 30.04.26 | Hull Kingston Rovers - Castleford Tigers | 50:6 | | 09.08.25 | Hull Kingston Rovers - Castleford Tigers | 36:6 | | 19.06.25 | Castleford Tigers - Hull Kingston Rovers | 0:46 | | 14.02.25 | Hull Kingston Rovers - Castleford Tigers | 19:18 OT | | 09.08.24 | Hull Kingston Rovers - Castleford Tigers | 36:6 | | 20.06.24 | Castleford Tigers - Hull Kingston Rovers | 12:13 | | 28.07.23 | Hull Kingston Rovers - Castleford Tigers | 34:16 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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