Match Info
Super League - Round 21Date: 1 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Wheldon Road (Castleford)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
 International | Superleague+ |
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Castleford Tigers |
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Warrington Wolves |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castleford Tigers
26.8% | Draw
3.9% | Warrington Wolves
69.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Castleford Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Warrington Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castleford Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Wolves than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Castleford Tigers - Warrington Wolves Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Warrington will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:29 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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6.  Asi D.
| 3.  King T.
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7. Weaver T.
| 4. Hopoate A.
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9.  Hood L.
| 5.  Ashton M.
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10. Lawler G.
| 9. Walker D.
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11. Lane J.
| 10. Harrison J.
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12. Mellor A.
| 11. Holroyd A.
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13. Stimson J.
| 13. Currie B.
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21. Senior L.
| 16. Byrne L.
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23.  Mapapalangi K.
| 18. Irwin E.
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35. Laulu-Togagae P.
| 19. Hayes L.
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36. Dupree T.
| 21. Thomas L.
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39. Brown J.
| 26. Smith J.
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40.  Sharpe T.
| 35. Webster L.
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| Substitutes |
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8. Atoni R.
| 1. Taylor-Wray C.
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15. Ashworth J.
| 14. Powell S.
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18. Rooney F.
| 15. Sipley T.
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27. Robb C.
| 22. Philbin J.
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32. Hirst G.
| 32. Smith E.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (18 - 24)
- 8', Holroyd A. (Try),
- 10', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 13', Asi D. (Try),
- 14', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
- 16', Sharpe T. (Try),
- 21', Laulu-Togagae P. (Try),
- 23', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Ashton M. (Try),
- 27', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', King T. (Try),
- 33', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Sipley T. (Try),
- 37', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Weaver T. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 24)
- 45', Harrison J. (Try),
- 46', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 49', Hayes L. (Try),
- 50', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Ashton M. (Try),
- 55', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Currie B. (Try),
- 71', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 1.Recent form of Castleford has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Warrington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Castleford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Warrington is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 330:557. (average 16.5:27.9).Including home matches between the teams, Castleford won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 215:244. (average 19.5:22.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super League Rugby | | | 21.03.26 | Warrington Wolves - Castleford Tigers | 72:6 | | 20.07.25 | Castleford Tigers - Warrington Wolves | 20:14 | | 30.05.25 | Warrington Wolves - Castleford Tigers | 34:24 | | 23.08.24 | Castleford Tigers - Warrington Wolves | 6:28 | | 01.03.24 | Warrington Wolves - Castleford Tigers | 30:8 | | 02.09.23 | Warrington Wolves - Castleford Tigers | 66:12 | | 23.06.23 | Castleford Tigers - Warrington Wolves | 23:14 |
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