Match Info

Super League - Round 17

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Pierre-Fabre (Castres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Spain	Esport 3
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
International	Superleague+


	Catalans Dragons		Toulouse Olympique

	1	X	2
	1.25	26	4	Watch
	1.32	22	3.8
	1.25	25.25	4.31	Watch
	1.28	27	3.86	Watch
	1.25	27	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.21)	25.45 ↑ (24.55)	4.03 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catalans Dragons
73.3%

Draw
3.7%

Toulouse Olympique
23.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.7%

3.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catalans Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Toulouse Olympique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Catalans Dragons - Toulouse Olympique Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Staines C.	1. Ashall-Bott O.
3. Cotric N.	2. Ulberg P.
4. Faataape S.	5. Laguerre B.
6. Sexton T.	6. Lacans T.
7. Dodd L.	7. Shorrocks J.
13. Garcia B.	8. Belmas L.
16. Allen J.	9. Hands B.
17. Navarrette R.	10. Roumanos J.
18. Wilson H.	12. Jussaume M.
19. Leeming K.	15. Cator J.
20. Lipowicz Z.	22. O'Kane H.
21. Laguerre M.	25. Polselli L.
25. Marc L.	39. Quai-Ward E.
Substitutes
8. Satae C.	13. Marion A.
10. Bousquet J.	17. Butler R.
12. Condon B.	30. Chan T.
30. Lis A.	40. Toleafoa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 32)
7', Polselli L. (Try),
8', Shorrocks J. (Conversion Goal),
11', Shorrocks J. (Penalty Goal),
13', Leeming K. (Try),
15', Sexton T. (Conversion Goal),
19', Laguerre M. (Try),
20', Sexton T. (Conversion Goal),
27', Hands B. (Try),
29', Shorrocks J. (Conversion Goal),
30', Jussaume M. (Try),
32', Shorrocks J. (Conversion Goal),
33', Lacans T. (Try),
34', Shorrocks J. (Conversion Goal),
38', Hands B. (Try),
40', Shorrocks J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (6 - 28)
44', Sexton T. (Try),
44', Sexton T. (Conversion Goal),
54', Ashall-Bott O. (Try),
55', Shorrocks J. (Conversion Goal),
58', Ulberg P. (Try),
59', Shorrocks J. (Missed Conversion),
65', Ashall-Bott O. (Try),
66', Shorrocks J. (Conversion Goal),
71', Jussaume M. (Try),
72', Shorrocks J. (Conversion Goal),
74', Polselli L. (Try),
76', Shorrocks J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Neutral location.

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 12).

In recent matches, Catalans has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Toulouse Olympique is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Catalans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Catalans is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Catalans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 75:50. (average 25:16.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Catalans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 51:36. (average 25.5:18).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Catalans Dragons
Super League Rugby
25.06.26	Warrington Wolves - Catalans Dragons	18:16 ✺
20.06.26	Catalans Dragons - Bradford Bulls	34:24 ✺
13.06.26	Catalans Dragons - Castleford Tigers	34:28 ✺
06.06.26	Catalans Dragons - Wigan Warriors	16:40 ✺
23.05.26	York City Knights - Catalans Dragons	22:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Toulouse Olympique
Super League Rugby
27.06.26	Toulouse Olympique - Leigh Leopards	16:40 ✺
20.06.26	Castleford Tigers - Toulouse Olympique	36:18 ✺
12.06.26	Toulouse Olympique - Leeds Rhinos	24:48 ✺
06.06.26	Huddersfield Giants - Toulouse Olympique	16:36 ✺
23.05.26	Toulouse Olympique - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	18:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Super League Rugby
04.04.26	Catalans Dragons - Toulouse Olympique	33:26
25.08.22	Toulouse Olympique - Catalans Dragons	14:24
14.04.22	Catalans Dragons - Toulouse Olympique	18:10

Catalans Dragons - Toulouse Olympique: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide