Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: York Community Stadium (York)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Superleague+


	York City Knights		Catalans Dragons

	1	X	2
	2.75	21	1.48	Watch
	2.8	15	1.55
	2.99	20.93	1.44	Watch
	3.1	23	1.5
	3.03	23	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.87)	20.59 ↑ (20.26)	1.48 (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City Knights
32%

Draw
4.6%

Catalans Dragons
63.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

4.6%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

4.8%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Catalans Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City Knights than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catalans Dragons than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

York City Knights - Catalans Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Catalans will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:27

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mataafa L. (C)	1. Staines C.
4. Wood S.	3. Cotric N.
5. Galeano S.	4. Faataape S.
8. Martin J.	6. Sexton T.
9. McShane P. (C)	11. Lipowicz Z.
20. Field O.	13. Garcia B.
21. Buchanan K.	16. Allen J.
24. Dagger W.	17. Navarrette R.
31. Vuniyayawa K.	20. Maria F.
37. Hunter C.	21. Laguerre M.
38. Roberts W.	23. Russell M.
46. Nofa	24. Aispuro-Bichet G.
48. Inman T.	26. Tison U.
Substitutes
6. Hingano A.	8. Satae C.
14. Balmforth D.	12. Condon B.
15. Va'a X.	18. Wilson H.
17. Hudson K.	25. Marc L.
23. Bennison J.	30. Lis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 6)
18', Russell M. (Try),
40', Russell M. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (22 - 30)
41', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Try),
42', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
44', Faataape S. (Try),
45', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
46', Balmforth D. (Try),
48', Hunter C. (Conversion Goal),
50', Sexton T. (Try),
52', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
59', Roberts W. (Try),
60', Hunter C. (Conversion Goal),
64', Tison U. (Try),
66', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
73', Balmforth D. (Try),
74', Hunter C. (Conversion Goal),
76', Nofa (Try),
78', (Try),
80', (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Catalans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Catalans is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, York won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:34.

Including home match between the teams, York won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:34.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City Knights
Super League Rugby
16.05.26	York City Knights - Castleford Tigers	18:24 ✺
01.05.26	St Helens - York City Knights	40:16 ✺
23.04.26	York City Knights - Toulouse Olympique	38:14 ✺
17.04.26	York City Knights - Leigh Leopards	6:18 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby League
11.04.26	Hull Kingston Rovers - York City Knights	48:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Catalans Dragons
Super League Rugby
15.05.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Catalans Dragons	58:10 ✺
02.05.26	Catalans Dragons - Leigh Leopards	18:33 ✺
24.04.26	Leeds Rhinos - Catalans Dragons	46:4 ✺
18.04.26	Catalans Dragons - Warrington Wolves	38:22 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby League
10.04.26	St Helens - Catalans Dragons	36:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby League
22.04.18	York City Knights - Catalans Dragons	22:34

York City Knights - Catalans Dragons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide