Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Halliwell Jones Stadium (Warrington)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Action
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
International	Superleague+


	Warrington Wolves		Catalans Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.25	26	4	Watch
	1.28	20	4.4
	1.25	23.28	4.34	Watch
	1.22	29	3.75
	1.25	27	4.16	Watch
	1.23	28	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)	25.55 ↑ (23.58)	4.16 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Wolves
74.2%

Draw
3.6%

Catalans Dragons
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.5%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

4.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Catalans Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Wolves than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warrington Wolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catalans Dragons than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Warrington Wolves - Catalans Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Thewlis J.	1. Staines C.
4. Hopoate A.	3. Cotric N.
5. Ashton M.	4. Faataape S.
9. Walker D.	6. Sexton T.
10. Harrison J.	7. Dodd L.
13. Currie B.	11. Maria F.
16. Byrne L.	13. Garcia B.
18. Irwin E.	16. Allen J.
19. Hayes L.	17. Navarrette R.
20. Bentley J.	19. Leeming K.
21. Thomas L.	20. Lipowicz Z.
23. Lindop A.	24. Aispuro-Bichet G.
26. Smith J.	25. Marc L.
Substitutes
11. Holroyd A.	8. Satae C.
14. Powell S.	12. Condon B.
17. Crowther J.	18. Wilson H.
25. Wood M.	21. Laguerre M.
34. Tanginoa K.	26. Tison U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 10)
15', Ashton M. (Try),
16', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
22', Lipowicz Z. (Try),
24', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),
33', Cotric N. (Try),
2nd Half (12 - 6)
47', Hopoate A. (Try),
48', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
63', Bentley J. (Try),
65', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
70', Dodd L. (Try),
71', Aispuro-Bichet G. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 4.

Warrington is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Catalans has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Warrington is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 388:367. (average 19.4:18.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 164:140. (average 20.5:17.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Wolves
Super League Rugby
18.06.26	Warrington Wolves - Leeds Rhinos	6:34 ✺
11.06.26	St Helens - Warrington Wolves	6:18 ✺
05.06.26	Warrington Wolves - Hull	12:4 ✺
24.05.26	Warrington Wolves - Bradford Bulls	26:12 ✺
16.05.26	Toulouse Olympique - Warrington Wolves	16:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW
- Catalans Dragons
Super League Rugby
20.06.26	Catalans Dragons - Bradford Bulls	34:24 ✺
13.06.26	Catalans Dragons - Castleford Tigers	34:28 ✺
06.06.26	Catalans Dragons - Wigan Warriors	16:40 ✺
23.05.26	York City Knights - Catalans Dragons	22:36 ✺
15.05.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Catalans Dragons	58:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Super League Rugby
18.04.26	Catalans Dragons - Warrington Wolves	38:22
14.08.25	Warrington Wolves - Catalans Dragons	30:22
12.07.25	Catalans Dragons - Warrington Wolves	20:24
21.02.25	Warrington Wolves - Catalans Dragons	18:12
25.05.24	Catalans Dragons - Warrington Wolves	8:16
30.03.24	Warrington Wolves - Catalans Dragons	24:32
17.02.24	Catalans Dragons - Warrington Wolves	16:10

Warrington Wolves - Catalans Dragons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide