What is the expert prediction for Gold Coast Titans vs St. George Illawarra Dragons?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Gold Coast Titans vs St. George Illawarra Dragons. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Gold Coast Titans vs St. George Illawarra Dragons Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, March 29, 2026)

Match Info

NRL - Round 4

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Cbus Super Stadium (Gold Coast)

Referee: Kennedy L. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
France	beIN Sports 3
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Gold Coast Titans		St. George Illawarra Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.77	23	2.1
	1.82	18	2.2
	1.77	20.12	2.17	Watch
	1.73	19	2.1
	1.76	26	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	21.22 ↓ (22.06)	2.14 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Titans
52.3%

Draw
4.4%

St. George Illawarra Dragons
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

4.2%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

4.2%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Titans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Titans than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Gold Coast will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. K	1. Gutherson C.
2. Faeamani S.	2. Tuipulotu C.
3. JoJo	4. Holmes V.
5. Sami P.	6. Flanagan K.
6. Brimson A.	7. Atkinson D.
7. Campbell J.	8. Guler E.
9. Verrills S.	9. Cook D.
10. Faasuamaleaui T.	10. Lawrie B.
11. Hau A.	11. Leilua L.
12. Fermor B.	12. Su'A J.
13. Randall C.	15. Sele H.
16. Haas K.	19. Buchanan H.
18. Ilias L.	20. Sloan T.
Substitutes
4. Feagai M.	13. Stewart H.
8. Fotuaika M.	14. Liddle J.
14. Morrin K.	16. Halangahu J.
17. Bai C.	17. Tonga L.
21. Pascoe O.	18. Kerr J.
22. Liu J.	22. King-Togia L.
Coaches
. Hannay J.	. Flanagan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 12)
4', Sloan T. (Try),
6', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
10', Sami P. (Try),
11', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
26', Cook D. (Try),
28', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (16 - 2)
45', Holmes V. (Penalty Goal),
48', Hau A. (Try),
49', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
71', Campbell J. (Penalty Goal),
74', Hau A. (Try),
75', Campbell J. (Conversion Goal),
80', Pascoe O. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 1.

Gold Coast has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St. George Illawarra's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gold Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gold Coast has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Gold Coast will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 366:523. (average 18.3:26.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 138:215. (average 15.3:23.9).

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Standings

Main

		Pl	W	L		Pts
16	Gold Coast Titans	12	3	9	220:303	10
17	St. George Illawarra Dragons	13	1	12	184:427	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Titans
Australian NRL
22.03.26	North Queensland Cowboys - Gold Coast Titans	30:16 ✺
15.03.26	Dolphins - Gold Coast Titans	18:14 ✺
07.03.26	Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Gold Coast Titans	34:0 ✺
21.02.26	Melbourne Storm - Gold Coast Titans	12:42 ✺
12.02.26	Dolphins - Gold Coast Titans	12:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLLWW
- St. George Illawarra Dragons
Australian NRL
22.03.26	Parramatta Eels - St. George Illawarra Dragons	30:20 ✺
14.03.26	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Melbourne Storm	20:46 ✺
28.02.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - St. George Illawarra Dragons	15:14 OT ✺
14.02.26	St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs	24:28 ✺
07.02.26	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights	28:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
11.04.25	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Gold Coast Titans	38:16
18.08.24	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Gold Coast Titans	32:16
09.03.24	Gold Coast Titans - St. George Illawarra Dragons	4:28
09.04.23	Gold Coast Titans - St. George Illawarra Dragons	20:18
12.03.23	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Gold Coast Titans	32:18
21.08.22	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Gold Coast Titans	46:26
14.05.22	Gold Coast Titans - St. George Illawarra Dragons	20:16 OT

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