Match Info

NRL - Round 2

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: WIN Stadium (Wollongong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	St. George Illawarra Dragons		Melbourne Storm

	1	X	2
	3.25	26	1.36
	3.3	18	1.42
	3.39	24.34	1.35	Watch
	3.2	26	1.3
	3.04	21	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.02)	23.07 ↑ (22.52)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. George Illawarra Dragons
28.6%

Draw
4%

Melbourne Storm
67.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

4.1%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

St. George Illawarra Dragons - Melbourne Storm Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. St. George Illawarra will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. St. George Illawarra (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:28

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutherson C. (C)	1. Faalogo S.
2. Tuipulotu C.	2. Warbrick W.
3. Suli M.	3. Howarth J.
4. Holmes V.	4. Moses L.
5. Setu T.	5. Meaney N.
6. Flanagan K.	6. Munster C.
7. Atkinson D.	7. Hughes J.
8. Guler E.	8. Utoikamanu S.
9. Cook D.	9. Grant H. (C)
10. Couchman T.	10. King J.
11. Leilua L.	11. Chan J.
12. Su'A J.	12. Lisati A.
14. Sele H.	13. Kamikamica T.
Substitutes
13. Stewart H.	14. Wishart T.
15. Kerr J.	15. Clarke C.
16. Lawrie B.	16. Hetherington J.
17. Couchman R.	17. Moale D.
18. King-Togia L.	19. Tuimalatu-Brown S.
21. Feagai M.	20. Hinchey A.
Coaches
. Flanagan S.	. Bellamy C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 18)
5', Meaney N. (Penalty Goal),
13', Warbrick W. (Try),
14', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
16', Howarth J. (Try),
17', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
20', Tuipulotu C. (Try),
21', Holmes V. (Missed Conversion),
29', Holmes V. (Try),
31', Holmes V. (Missed Conversion),
36', Gutherson C. (Try),
37', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
40', Grant H. (Try),
40', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (6 - 28)
52', Holmes V. (Try),
53', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
63', Faalogo S. (Try),
64', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
65', Faalogo S. (Try),
67', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
70', Hughes J. (Try),
71', Hughes J. (Conversion Goal),
75', Faalogo S. (Try),
76', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
80', Moses L. (Try),
80', Hinchey A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 2.

In this match, Melbourne is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 342:436. (average 19:24.2).

Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 216:184. (average 21.6:18.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. George Illawarra Dragons
Australian NRL
28.02.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - St. George Illawarra Dragons	15:14 OT ✺
14.02.26	St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs	24:28 ✺
07.02.26	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Newcastle Knights	28:18 ✺
06.09.25	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Penrith Panthers	20:40 ✺
30.08.25	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles	24:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLL
- Melbourne Storm
Australian NRL
05.03.26	Melbourne Storm - Parramatta Eels	52:4 ✺
21.02.26	Melbourne Storm - Gold Coast Titans	12:42 ✺
13.02.26	Canberra Raiders - Melbourne Storm	32:6 ✺
05.10.25	Melbourne Storm - Brisbane Broncos	22:26 ✺
26.09.25	Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks	22:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
29.03.25	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Melbourne Storm	14:8
03.08.24	Melbourne Storm - St. George Illawarra Dragons	16:18
19.08.23	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Melbourne Storm	28:38
08.05.22	Melbourne Storm - St. George Illawarra Dragons	42:6
16.05.21	Melbourne Storm - St. George Illawarra Dragons	44:18
27.09.20	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Melbourne Storm	30:22
04.07.19	St. George Illawarra Dragons - Melbourne Storm	14:16

St. George Illawarra Dragons - Melbourne Storm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide