Match Info
NRL - Pre-seasonDate: 14 February 2026, SaturdayReferee: Sutton G. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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St. George Illawarra Dragons |
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South Sydney Rabbitohs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.2 |
28 |
5.3 |
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 |
1.18 |
26 |
4.5 |
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 |
1.04 |
29 |
12 |
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 |
1.2 |
36 |
4.33 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.16 ↑ (1.11) |
29.75 ↑ (29) |
6.53 ↓ (8.25) |
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- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St. George Illawarra Dragons 82.3% | Draw 3.2% | South Sydney Rabbitohs 14.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)South Sydney Rabbitohs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%) 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Gutherson C. (C)
| 1. Dufty M.
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2. Tuipulotu C.
| 2. Bentley-Hape B.
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3. Suli M.
| 3. Penitani T.
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5. Setu T.
| 4. Siegwalt L.
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6. Flanagan K.
| 5. Mazzone J.
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7. Atkinson D.
| 6. Ward A.
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8. Guler E.
| 7. Glover J.
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9. Cook D.
| 8. Ataata S.
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10. Couchman T.
| 9. Mamouzelos P.
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11. Leilua L.
| 10. Hubner L.
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12. Su'A J.
| 11. Fletcher T.
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13. Sele H.
| 12. McCarthy M.
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20. Fale D.
| 13. Garlick B. (C)
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| Substitutes |
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14. Stewart H.
| 14. Humphreys J.
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15. Lawrie B.
| 15. Tatola T.
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16. Couchman R.
| 16. Keppie S.
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17. Tonga L.
| 17. Le Blanc L.
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18. Sloan T.
| 18. Humphries M.
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19. Feagai M.
| 19. Radel J.
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21. King-Togia L.
| 20. Johannssen T.
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22. Reed K.
| 21. Keung E.
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23. Halangahu J.
| 22. Kirk J.
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24. Buchanan H.
| 23. Taua N.
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25. Tsougranis N.
| 24. Afualo W.
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27. O'Neil J.
| 25. Lawry O.
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28. Hutchinson R.
| 26. Fakaosi T.
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| Coaches |
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. Flanagan S.
| . Bennett W.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 12)
- 9', Gutherson C. (Try),
- 11', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Penitani T. (Try),
- 21', Bentley-Hape B. (Conversion Goal),
- 23', Cook D. (Try),
- 24', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Dufty M. (Try),
- 37', Bentley-Hape B. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (12 - 16)
- 43', Siegwalt L. (Try),
- 47', Bentley-Hape B. (Try),
- 47', Bentley-Hape B. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Leilua L. (Try),
- 53', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Mazzone J. (Try),
- 69', Humphreys J. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Feagai M. (Try),
- 78', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 2.South Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, St. George Illawarra is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 374:544. (average 18.7:27.2).Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 246:265. (average 27.3:29.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 21.08.25 | South Sydney Rabbitohs - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 40:0 | | 15.03.25 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 24:25 | | 21.02.25 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 46:26 | | 11.05.24 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 28:14 | | 17.02.24 | South Sydney Rabbitohs - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 28:6 | | 12.08.23 | South Sydney Rabbitohs - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 26:14 | | 10.06.23 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs | 36:30 |
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