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Current Win Probability
Hull Kingston Rovers 73.9%
Draw 4%
Wakefield Trinity Wildcats 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
71.1%
3.8%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.8%
3.4%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hull Kingston Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Wakefield Trinity Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull Kingston Rovers than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull Kingston Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wakefield Trinity Wildcats than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wakefield Trinity Wildcats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 46.5 - under (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:19
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Davies T.
3. Scott C.
3. Hiku P.
5. Johnstone T.
4. Gildart O.
6. Trueman J.
5. Burgess J.
8. McMeeken M.
6. Lewis M.
9. Smoothy T.
7. May T.
10. Rodwell K.
8. Sue S.
12. Storton M.
12. Batchelor J.
13. Tevaga J.
13. Minchella E.
17. Smith H.
16. Whitbread J.
18. Vagana I.
17. Martin R.
19. Walmsley L.
19. Lawton K.
23. Rourke J.
34. Hampshire R.
32. Tate W.
Substitutes
9. Litten J.
14. Pitts J.
14. Broadbent J.
15. Hamlin-Uele C.
15. Luckley S.
16. Faatili C.
20. Dezaria J.
24. Lolesio T.
22. Leyland B.
27. Lawford M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 6)
9', Smith H. (Try),
20', Martin R. (Penalty Goal),
23', Martin R. (Penalty Goal),
37', Smoothy T. (Penalty Goal),
40', Martin R. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 14)
53', Faatili C. (Try),
54', Smoothy T. (Conversion Goal),
59', Faatili C. (Try),
60', Smoothy T. (Conversion Goal),
63', Smoothy T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull Kingston won 3.
In recent matches, Hull Kingston has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Wakefield is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Hull Kingston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Wakefield has had a series of home games.
In this match, Hull Kingston is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull Kingston won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 443:413. (average 22.2:20.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Hull Kingston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 185:159. (average 20.6:17.7).
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Davies T. 
Hiku P. 
Smoothy T. 
May T. 
Martin R. 
Walmsley L. 
Dezaria J. 
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