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Current Win Probability
Hull Kingston Rovers 77.7%
Draw 3.2%
Leigh Leopards 19.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.9%
4.1%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
3.6%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hull Kingston Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hull Kingston Rovers's performance.
Leigh Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leigh Leopards might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull Kingston Rovers than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull Kingston Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leigh Leopards than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leigh Leopards could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hull Kingston Rovers - Leigh Leopards Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:16
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Davies T.
1. Armstrong D.
3. Hiku P.
3. Niu F.
5. Burgess J.
4. Hanley U.
6. Lewis M.
6. Cook A.
7. May T.
8. Ofahengaue J.
8. Sue S.
9. Ipape E.
10. Amone T.
10. Mulhern R.
11. Hadley D.
11. Halton F.
12. Batchelor J.
13. Liu I.
13. Minchella E.
15. Alick Wiencke J.
14. Broadbent J.
18. Hodgson B.
17. Martin R.
19. Senior I.
19. Lawton K.
21. O'Brien G.
Substitutes
15. Luckley S.
14. Pene A.
16. Whitbread J.
16. Davis M.
20. Dezaria J.
17. Horne L.
22. Leyland B.
25. Brogan L.
35. Pangai T.
28. Brown R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (10 - 4)
9', Burgess J. (Try),
11', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
15', Hiku P. (Try),
19', Alick Wiencke J. (Try),
2nd Half (12 - 4)
43', Whitbread J. (Try),
51', Leyland B. (Try),
53', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
71', Hodgson B. (Try),
78', Martin R. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull Kingston won 4.
Hull Kingston has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Leigh is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Hull Kingston is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull Kingston won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 478:303. (average 23.9:15.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hull Kingston won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 299:165. (average 24.9:13.8).
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Davies T. 
Armstrong D. 
Hiku P. 
Niu F. 
May T. 
Ipape E. 
Mulhern R. 
Luckley S. 
Dezaria J. 
Brogan L. 
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