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Current Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos 63%
Draw 4.5%
Hull Kingston Rovers 32.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.2%
4.5%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
4.9%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leeds Rhinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Hull Kingston Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leeds Rhinos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull Kingston Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hull Kingston Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Leeds Rhinos - Hull Kingston Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:19
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Miller L.
2. Davies T.
2. Sivo M.
3. Hiku P.
3. Newman H.
4. Gildart O.
4. Handley A.
6. Lewis M.
5. Hall R.
7. May T.
6. Croft B.
10. Amone T.
7. Connor J.
11. Hadley D.
8. Oledzki M.
12. Batchelor J.
11. Watkins K.
13. Minchella E.
12. McDonnell J.
14. Broadbent J.
13. Palasia K.
16. Whitbread J.
14. Hankinson C.
19. Lawton K.
23. Levi D.
21. Booth N.
Substitutes
9. O'Connor J.
17. Martin R.
10. Holroyd T.
20. Dezaria J.
15. Jenkins C.
22. Leyland B.
17. Smith C.
34. Hampshire R.
22. Lumb R.
35. Pangai T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (18 - 2)
7', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
13', Martin R. (Penalty Goal),
26', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
31', Hankinson C. (Try),
32', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
36', Sivo M. (Try),
38', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
40', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (16 - 6)
44', Sivo M. (Try),
46', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
56', Booth N. (Try),
57', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
58', Connor J. (Try),
60', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
70', Handley A. (Try),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 3.
Leeds is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Hull Kingston has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hull Kingston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Leeds might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 513:388. (average 25.7:19.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 300:199. (average 27.3:18.1).
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Miller L. 
Davies T. 
Sivo M. 
Hiku P. 
May T. 
McDonnell J. 
Martin R. 
Dezaria J. 
Pangai T. 
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