Match Info
Super League - Round 4Date: 8 March 2026, SundayLocation: Headingley Stadium (Leeds)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+, Superleague+ |
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Leeds Rhinos |
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Castleford Tigers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.1 |
34 |
7 |
 Watch |
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1.1 |
30 |
8.5 |
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1.11 |
27.66 |
7.4 |
Watch |
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1.08 |
26 |
6.5 |
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1.08 |
26 |
8.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.09 ↓
(1.12) |
28.73 ↑
(27.74) |
7.58 ↑
(6.88) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos
84.6% | Draw
3.2% | Castleford Tigers
12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leeds Rhinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Castleford Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -22.5 - Castleford (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -19.5 - Castleford (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -15.5 - Castleford (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -18.5 - Castleford (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Castleford (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:17 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Miller L.
| 3. Cini Z.
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2.  Sivo M.
| 4.  McIntosh D.
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3. Newman H.
| 5. Ravalawa M.
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4. Handley A. (C)
| 6. Asi D.
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5. Hall R.
| 7. Weaver T.
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7. Connor J.
| 8. Atoni R.
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11. Watkins K.
| 9.  Hood L.
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13.  Palasia K.
| 11. Lane J.
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15. Jenkins C.
| 13. Stimson J. (C)
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16. O'Neill E.
| 16. Westerman J.
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17. Smith C.
| 22. Qareqare J.
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23. Levi D.
| 23.  Mapapalangi K.
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27. Brown G.
| 32. Hirst G.
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| Substitutes |
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9. O'Connor J.
| 10. Lawler G.
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10. Holroyd T.
| 15. Ashworth J.
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14. Hankinson C.
| 17. Atkin C.
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19. Mata'utia J.
| 25. Hall S.
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33. Bird J.
| 31.  Golding A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 4)
- 11', Brown G. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Connor J. (Try),
- 18', Ravalawa M. (Try),
- 29', Sivo M. (Try),
- 2nd Half (12 - 0)
- 46', Sivo M. (Try),
- 46', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Sivo M. (Try),
- 54', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 5. In this match, Leeds is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 518:352. (average 25.9:17.6).Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 289:246. (average 24.1:20.5).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | W | D | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Leeds | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 262:130 | 12 |
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| 14 | Castleford | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 112:214 | 4 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super League Rugby | | | 16.08.25 | Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos | 6:64 | | 24.05.25 | Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos | 6:29 | | 02.03.25 | Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers | 38:24 | | 01.06.24 | Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers | 32:4 | | 28.03.24 | Castleford Tigers - Leeds Rhinos | 6:26 | | 22.09.23 | Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers | 46:0 | | 03.06.23 | Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers | 24:26 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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