The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos 67.9%
Draw 4.4%
St Helens 27.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.6%
4.3%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
4.5%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leeds Rhinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
St Helens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leeds Rhinos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Helens than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St Helens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Leeds Rhinos - St Helens Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 1 - 50%). St Helens will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:13
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Sivo M.
1. Welsby J.
3. Newman H.
2. Feldt K.
4. Handley A.
3. Robertson H.
5. Hall R.
4. Percival M.
6. Croft B.
6. Sailor T.
7. Connor J.
7. Lomax J.
8. Oledzki M.
8. Walmsley A.
9. O'Connor J.
9. Clark D.
11. Watkins K.
11. Sironen C.
12. McDonnell J.
13. Klemmer D.
14. Hankinson C.
16. Whitley M.
15. Jenkins C.
17. Whitby G.
28. McCormack F.
22. Shorrocks J.
Substitutes
13. Palasia K.
12. Wright S.
17. Smith C.
15. Delaney G.
20. Cassell P.
18. Sinclair A.
23. Levi D.
28. Davies J.
26. Nicholson-Watton T.
30. Humphreys T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (8 - 16)
4', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
7', Walmsley A. (Try),
8', Sailor T. (Conversion Goal),
26', Hankinson C. (Try),
28', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
31', Feldt K. (Try),
32', Sailor T. (Conversion Goal),
40', Sailor T. (Try),
2nd Half (16 - 0)
46', Newman H. (Try),
47', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
50', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
74', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
77', Sivo M. (Try),
78', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.
Leeds is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, St Helens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Leeds is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 192:485. (average 9.6:24.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 40:147. (average 5:18.4).