The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leeds Rhinos 54.5%
Draw 5.2%
Warrington Wolves 40.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.8%
4.6%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
3.7%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leeds Rhinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leeds Rhinos's form might have worsened.
Warrington Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Warrington Wolves's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Wolves than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Leeds Rhinos - Warrington Wolves Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Warrington will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
Points O/U 36.5 - over (2.00) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:16
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
3. Newman H.
2. Thewlis J.
5. Hall R.
3. King T.
6. Croft B.
4. Hopoate A.
7. Connor J.
5. Ashton M.
8. Oledzki M.
6. Williams G.
9. O'Connor J.
9. Walker D.
11. Watkins K.
10. Harrison J.
12. McDonnell J.
12. Stone S.
13. Palasia K.
13. Currie B.
14. Hankinson C.
16. Byrne L.
22. Lumb R.
18. Irwin E.
28. McCormack F.
20. Bentley J.
31. Lodge M.
23. Lindop A.
Substitutes
10. Holroyd T.
8. Yates L.
15. Jenkins C.
14. Powell S.
17. Smith C.
19. Hayes L.
20. Cassell P.
22. Philbin J.
30. Lloyd Z.
34. Tanginoa K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (12 - 12)
5', Bentley J. (Try),
6', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
16', Hall R. (Try),
18', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
32', Connor J. (Try),
33', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
37', Yates L. (Try),
39', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', Irwin E. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Super League PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Super League PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 3.
Leeds has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Warrington shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Leeds could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Leeds is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Leeds has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 416:411 (averaging 20.8:20.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leeds against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 226:161 goals (averaging 25.1:17.9 per game).