What is the expert prediction for Leeds Rhinos vs Warrington Wolves?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Leeds Rhinos vs Warrington Wolves. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Leeds Rhinos vs Warrington Wolves Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, March 29, 2026)

Match Info

Super League - Round 6

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Headingley Stadium (Leeds)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League
Germany	Sportdigital1+
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Superleague+


	Leeds Rhinos		Warrington Wolves

	1	X	2
	1.5	21	2.7	Watch
	1.42	25	3.1
	1.47	18.11	2.93	Watch
	1.4	19	2.88
	1.46	21	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	20.82 ↑ (20.55)	2.9 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 36.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds Rhinos
63.7%

Draw
4.4%

Warrington Wolves
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

4.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

5.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds Rhinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Warrington Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds Rhinos than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leeds Rhinos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Wolves than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:14

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miller L.	2. Thewlis J.
2. Sivo M.	3. King T.
4. Handley A.	4. Hopoate A.
5. Hall R.	5. Ashton M.
6. Croft B.	6. Williams G.
7. Connor J.	8. Yates L.
10. Holroyd T.	9. Walker D.
11. Watkins K.	12. Stone S.
12. McDonnell J.	13. Currie B.
13. Palasia K.	16. Byrne L.
17. Smith C.	18. Irwin E.
23. Levi D.	26. Smith J.
33. Bird J.	34. Tanginoa K.
Substitutes
8. Oledzki M.	10. Harrison J.
9. O'Connor J.	17. Crowther J.
14. Hankinson C.	22. Philbin J.
15. Jenkins C.	24. Wood M.
36. Cassell P.	35. Webster L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (8 - 12)
9', Irwin E. (Penalty Goal),
21', Thewlis J. (Try),
26', Smith J. (Try),
27', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
30', Sivo M. (Try),
40', Sivo M. (Try),
2nd Half (18 - 10)
46', Sivo M. (Try),
47', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
50', King T. (Try),
52', Irwin E. (Conversion Goal),
55', Bird J. (Try),
67', Croft B. (Try),
68', Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
72', Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
76', Smith J. (Try),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.

Leeds has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Warrington is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Warrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leeds will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 394:428. (average 19.7:21.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 222:172. (average 24.7:19.1).

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Standings

2026

		Pl	W	W	D	L	L		Pts
1	Leeds	14	11	0	0	0	3	476:220	22
2	Warrington	13	11	0	0	0	2	384:184	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds Rhinos
Super League Rugby
22.03.26	Hull - Leeds Rhinos	24:16 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby League
13.03.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leeds Rhinos	24:14 ✺
Super League Rugby
08.03.26	Leeds Rhinos - Castleford Tigers	22:4 ✺
28.02.26	Hull Kingston Rovers - Leeds Rhinos	6:58 ✺
20.02.26	Leeds Rhinos - York City Knights	46:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW
- Warrington Wolves
Super League Rugby
21.03.26	Warrington Wolves - Castleford Tigers	72:6 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby League
14.03.26	Goole Vikings - Warrington Wolves	10:78 ✺
Super League Rugby
06.03.26	York City Knights - Warrington Wolves	30:38 ✺
28.02.26	Warrington Wolves - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	27:16 ✺
13.02.26	Warrington Wolves - St Helens	24:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Super League Rugby
14.06.25	Leeds Rhinos - Warrington Wolves	36:12
28.03.25	Warrington Wolves - Leeds Rhinos	16:14
17.08.24	Warrington Wolves - Leeds Rhinos	24:6
11.07.24	Warrington Wolves - Leeds Rhinos	30:18
05.04.24	Leeds Rhinos - Warrington Wolves	8:34
20.08.23	Leeds Rhinos - Warrington Wolves	24:22
29.06.23	Warrington Wolves - Leeds Rhinos	6:22

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