Match Info
Super League - Round 18Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Leigh Sports Village (Leigh)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Fox Sports 505 |
Canada | fubo Sports Network |
United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
International | Superleague+ |
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Leigh Leopards |
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Castleford Tigers |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-24)
- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leigh Leopards 88.2% | Draw 2.3% | Castleford Tigers 9.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Leigh Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Castleford Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Leigh Leopards - Castleford Tigers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +22.5 - Castleford (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castleford (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:14 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Armstrong D.
| 2. Valemei S.
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4. Hanley U.
| 6. Asi D.
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5. Charnley J.
| 10. Lawler G.
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6. Cook A.
| 11. Lane J.
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7. Lam L.
| 12. Mellor A.
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12. Trout O.
| 13. Stimson J.
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13. Liu I.
| 21. Senior L.
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16. Davis M.
| 22. Qareqare J.
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17. Horne L.
| 23. Mapapalangi K.
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19. Senior I.
| 24. Windley J.
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21. O'Brien G.
| 31. Golding A.
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22. Hughes J.
| 35. Laulu-Togagae P.
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25. Brogan L.
| 39. Brown J.
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| Substitutes |
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9. Ipape E.
| 5. Ravalawa M.
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24. McNamara B.
| 8. Atoni R.
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28. Brown R.
| 15. Ashworth J.
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31. Vaalepu L.
| 25. Hall S.
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| 27. Robb C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 12)
- 4', Lam L. (Try),
- 5', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 16', Armstrong D. (Try),
- 18', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Hall S. (Try),
- 27', Stimson J. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Ravalawa M. (Try),
- 40', Asi D. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (12 - 6)
- 44', Hanley U. (Try),
- 46', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Armstrong D. (Try),
- 56', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Laulu-Togagae P. (Try),
- 75', Asi D. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leigh won 5.Leigh is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Castleford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Castleford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Leigh has had a series of away games. In this match, Leigh is the clear favorite.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leigh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 268:232. (average 24.4:21.1).Including home matches between the teams, Leigh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 104:78. (average 26:19.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super League Rugby | | | 05.06.26 | Castleford Tigers - Leigh Leopards | 14:24 | | 28.08.25 | Leigh Leopards - Castleford Tigers | 46:6 | | 12.04.25 | Castleford Tigers - Leigh Leopards | 6:20 | | 06.09.24 | Castleford Tigers - Leigh Leopards | 12:34 | | 01.08.24 | Castleford Tigers - Leigh Leopards | 10:20 | | 04.05.24 | Leigh Leopards - Castleford Tigers | 28:28 OT | | 07.07.23 | Castleford Tigers - Leigh Leopards | 16:34 |
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