Match Info
Super League - Round 13Date: 5 June 2026, FridayLocation: Wheldon Road (Castleford)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+, Superleague+ |
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Castleford Tigers |
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Leigh Leopards |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.5 |
23 |
1.33 |
 Watch |
 |
3.6 |
15 |
1.38 |
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 |
3.7 |
23 |
1.3 |
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 |
3.64 |
19 |
1.31 |
Watch |
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3.15 |
23 |
1.39 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↑
(3.14) |
20.6 ↑
(19.13) |
1.34 ↓
(1.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castleford Tigers
26.4% | Draw
4.5% | Leigh Leopards
69.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Castleford Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Leigh Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castleford Tigers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leigh Leopards than the current prediction. (-4.2%)Castleford Tigers - Leigh Leopards Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:26 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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3.  Cini Z.
| 1. Armstrong D.
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6. Asi D.
| 5.  Charnley J.
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7. Weaver T.
| 6. Cook A.
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10. Lawler G.
| 7.  Lam L.
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11. Lane J.
| 8.  Ofahengaue J.
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12. Mellor A.
| 9. Ipape E.
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13. Stimson J.
| 10.  Mulhern R.
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21. Senior L.
| 11. Halton F.
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22. Qareqare J.
| 13.  Liu I.
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23. Mapapalangi K.
| 15. Alick Wiencke J.
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31.  Golding A.
| 18. Hodgson B.
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35. Laulu-Togagae P.
| 19. Senior I.
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36. Dupree T.
| 22. Hughes J.
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| Substitutes |
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8. Atoni R.
| 14. Pene A.
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14. Greacen B.
| 16. Davis M.
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15. Ashworth J.
| 17. Horne L.
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25. Hall S.
| 21. O'Brien G.
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27. Robb C.
| 25.  Brogan L.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (8 - 12)
- 2', Qareqare J. (Try),
- 4', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Weaver T. (Penalty Goal),
- 23', Alick Wiencke J. (Try),
- 24', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Senior I. (Try),
- 28', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 12)
- 44', Hughes J. (Try),
- 45', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Lawler G. (Try),
- 59', Weaver T. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Cook A. (Try),
- 68', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 0.Recent performances by Castleford have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Leigh is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, Leigh is the team to beat.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Castleford won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 218:244. (average 21.8:24.4).Including home matches between the teams, Castleford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 140:140. (average 23.3:23.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super League Rugby | | | 28.08.25 | Leigh Leopards - Castleford Tigers | 46:6 | | 12.04.25 | Castleford Tigers - Leigh Leopards | 6:20 | | 06.09.24 | Castleford Tigers - Leigh Leopards | 12:34 | | 01.08.24 | Castleford Tigers - Leigh Leopards | 10:20 | | 04.05.24 | Leigh Leopards - Castleford Tigers | 28:28 OT | | 07.07.23 | Castleford Tigers - Leigh Leopards | 16:34 | | 05.05.23 | Leigh Leopards - Castleford Tigers | 30:6 |
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