Match Info
NRL - Round 21Date: 25 July 2025, FridayLocation: Queensland Country Bank Stadium (Townsville)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
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North Queensland Cowboys |
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St. George Illawarra Dragons |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.6 |
21 |
2.4 |
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 |
1.62 |
21 |
2.37 |
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 |
1.7 |
22 |
2.35 |
 Watch |
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1.57 |
13.82 |
2.74 |
Watch |
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1.55 |
23 |
2.5 |
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 |
1.64 |
18 |
2.4 |
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1.67 |
21 |
2.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.55) |
19.97 ↓
(22.33) |
2.44 ↓
(2.59) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 50.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
North Queensland Cowboys
57.3% | Draw
4.6% | St. George Illawarra Dragons
38.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)St. George Illawarra Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (-1%)North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. North Queensland will win (votes: 3 - 75%). St. George Illawarra will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Queensland (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 53.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:24 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Drinkwater S.
| 1. Gutherson C. (C)
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2.  Derby R.
| 2. Sloan T.
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3. Purdue J.
| 3.  Suli M.
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4. Laybutt Z.
| 4.  Feagai M.
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5. Burns B.
| 5. Allan C.
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6. Duffy T.
| 6.  King-Togia L.
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7. Dearden T. (C)
| 7. Flanagan K.
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8. Edwards H.
| 9. Cook D.
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9. Robson R.
| 10. Klemmer D.
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10. Neame G.
| 11. Leilua L.
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11. Bateman J.
| 12. Su'A J.
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12. Nanai J.
| 13. De Belin J.
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13. Cotter R.
| 15. Lawrie B.
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| Substitutes |
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14. Lawton K.
| 8. Guler E.
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15. Lahrs K.
| 14. Liddle J.
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16. O'Donnell K.
| 16. Stewart H.
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17. Hess C.
| 17. Molo M.
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| Coaches |
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. Payten T.
| . Flanagan S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (28 - 12)
- 6', Laybutt Z. (Try),
- 7', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Dearden T. (Try),
- 13', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Sloan T. (Try),
- 20', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Feagai M. (Try),
- 29', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Hess C. (Try),
- 36', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Drinkwater S. (Try),
- 39', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Nanai J. (Try),
- 40', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (10 - 20)
- 56', Allan C. (Try),
- 58', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
- 59', Sloan T. (Try),
- 61', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
- 65', Liddle J. (Try),
- 66', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Dearden T. (Try),
- 73', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
- 75', Drinkwater S. (Penalty Goal),
- 76', Purdue J. (Try),
- 76', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
- 78', Liddle J. (Try),
- 78', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 5.Both teams are struggling and far from their best.North Queensland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. North Queensland will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 497:336. (average 26.2:17.7).Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 214:123. (average 26.8:15.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 23.03.24 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - North Queensland Cowboys | 24:46 | | 13.05.23 | North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 42:22 | | 31.07.22 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - North Queensland Cowboys | 8:34 | | 10.06.22 | North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 31:12 | | 28.08.21 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - North Queensland Cowboys | 26:38 | | 20.03.21 | North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 18:25 | | 06.09.20 | North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 23:22 |
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