Match Info
NRL - Round 17Date: 28 June 2026, SundayLocation: GIO Stadium (Canberra)Referee: Przeklasa-Adamski Z. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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 |
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Canberra Raiders |
|
St. George Illawarra Dragons |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.28 |
29 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.28 |
30 |
4 |
|
 |
1.31 |
22.79 |
3.72 |
 Watch |
 |
1.33 |
23 |
3.2 |
|
 |
1.31 |
22 |
3.69 |
|
 |
1.33 |
25 |
3.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.34) |
25.3 ↓
(27.25) |
3.64 ↑
(3.35) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Canberra Raiders
70.9% | Draw
3.7% | St. George Illawarra Dragons
25.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
.  Hosking Z.
| 1. Gutherson C.
|
1. Weekes K.
| 2. Setu T.
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2. Tamale S.
| 4. Holmes V.
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4.  Timoko M.
| 5.  Feagai M.
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5. Savage X.
| 6.  Atkinson D.
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6. Strange E.
| 7. Flanagan K.
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7. Sanders E.
| 8. Tonga L.
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8. Horsburgh C.
| 9. Cook D. (C)
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10. Tapine J. (C)
| 10. Couchman T.
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11. Young H.
| 11. Egan D.
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12. Sasagi S.
| 12. Stewart H.
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13. Brailey J.
| 13. Couchman R.
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14. Pattie O.
| 19. Sloan T.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
3. Kris S.
| 14. Liddle J.
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9. Starling T.
| 15. Leilua L.
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15. Mariota A.
| 16. Kerr J.
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16.  Smithies M.
| 17. Halangahu J.
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17. Stewart C.
| 18. Guler E.
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19. Clydsdale J.
| 21. King-Togia L.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Stuart R.
| . Young D.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 10)
- 8', Sloan T. (Try),
- 10', Holmes V. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Young H. (Try),
- 21', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Setu T. (Try),
- 2nd Half (18 - 6)
- 45', Savage X. (Try),
- 46', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Savage X. (Try),
- 57', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Sloan T. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Holmes V. (Try),
- 75', Starling T. (Try),
- 76', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 17).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 4.Both teams are currently in poor form.Canberra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, St. George Illawarra has had a series of away games. In this match, Canberra is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 443:393. (average 22.2:19.7).Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 168:158. (average 21:19.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 02.08.25 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders | 18:12 | | 05.07.25 | Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 28:24 | | 07.09.24 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders | 24:26 | | 07.07.23 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders | 26:36 | | 16.04.23 | Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 20:14 | | 14.08.22 | Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons | 24:22 | | 03.07.22 | St. George Illawarra Dragons - Canberra Raiders | 12:10 |
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