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Current Win Probability
St. George Illawarra Dragons 37.3%
Draw 4.3%
Parramatta Eels 58.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
4.3%
52.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
4.4%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Illawarra Dragons's form might have worsened.
Parramatta Eels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Parramatta Eels's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Illawarra Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parramatta Eels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St. George Illawarra Dragons - Parramatta Eels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:31
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Atkinson D.
2. Kelly B.
2. Feagai M.
3. Penisini W.
3. Suli M.
4. Samrani J.
4. Holmes V.
5. Addo-Carr J.
5. Sloan T.
6. Volkman R.
6. King-Togia L.
7. Moses M.
7. Flanagan K.
8. Moretti L.
8. Couchman T.
9. Da Silva T.
9. Cook D.
10. Paulo J.
10. Lawrie B.
11. Williams J.
11. Egan D.
12. Kautoga K.
12. Stewart H.
13. Pryke S.
13. Tonga L.
19. Russell S.
Substitutes
14. Muhleisen C.
1. Twidle A.
15. Couchman R.
14. Edwards H.
16. Kerr J.
15. De Belin J.
17. Halangahu J.
16. Brown T.
18. Webster J.
17. Walker D.
19. Setu T.
18. Lokeni T.
Coaches
. Young D.
. Ryles J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (10 - 16)
2', Samrani J. (Try),
4', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
15', Sloan T. (Try),
16', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
18', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
19', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
27', Egan D. (Try),
28', Flanagan K. (Missed Conversion),
39', Walker D. (Try),
40', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 6)
49', Samrani J. (Try),
51', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
56', Lawrie B. (Try),
58', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
66', Muhleisen C. (Try),
67', Flanagan K. (Conversion Goal),
76', Sloan T. (Drop Goal),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
St. George Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Parramatta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 332:530. (average 16.6:26.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 85:116. (average 17:23.2).