Match Info
NRL - Round 4Date: 28 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Queensland Country Bank Stadium (Townsville)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Sports 3 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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North Queensland Cowboys |
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Melbourne Storm |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4 |
29 |
1.25 |
|
 |
3.8 |
25 |
1.32 |
|
 |
4.31 |
25.25 |
1.25 |
 Watch |
 |
3.75 |
23 |
1.25 |
|
 |
3.98 |
21 |
1.3 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.97 ↑
(3.42) |
24.65 ↓
(26.19) |
1.27 ↓
(1.33) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
North Queensland Cowboys
23.4% | Draw
3.8% | Melbourne Storm
72.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:33 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Drinkwater S.
| 1.  Faalogo S.
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2. Burns B.
| 2.  Warbrick W.
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3. Purdue J.
| 3. Howarth J.
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4. Laybutt Z.
| 4. Moses L.
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5. Taulagi M.
| 6. Munster C.
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6. Clifford J.
| 7. Hughes J.
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7. Dearden T.
| 8. Utoikamanu S.
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8. Hess C.
| 9. Grant H.
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9. Mahoney R.
| 10. King J.
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10.  Taumalolo J.
| 11.  Chan J.
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11. Luki H.
| 12. MacDonald A.
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12. McIntyre S.
| 13. Loiero T.
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13. Cotter R.
| 19. Tuimalatu-Brown S.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Luke S.
| 14. Wishart T.
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15. O'Donnell K.
| 15. Clarke C.
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16. Neame G.
| 16. Kamikamica T.
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18. Mikaele T.
| 17.  Moale D.
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19.  Sutton L.
| 18. Hetherington J.
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21. Lodge M.
| 21. Waitere M.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Payten T.
| . Bellamy C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 16)
- 5', Clifford J. (Try),
- 6', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Warbrick W. (Try),
- 10', Grant H. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Burns B. (Try),
- 13', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
- 23', Warbrick W. (Try),
- 24', Grant H. (Conversion Goal),
- 37', Faalogo S. (Try),
- 38', Grant H. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (18 - 8)
- 44', Warbrick W. (Try),
- 46', Grant H. (Missed Conversion),
- 53', Taulagi M. (Try),
- 55', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
- 64', Warbrick W. (Try),
- 66', Grant H. (Missed Conversion),
- 69', McIntyre S. (Try),
- 70', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
- 72', Luki H. (Try),
- 73', Drinkwater S. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Burns B. (Try),
- 77', Drinkwater S. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 379:435. (average 19:21.8).Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 189:169. (average 21:18.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 05.07.25 | North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm | 20:26 | | 06.06.25 | Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys | 38:14 | | 23.02.25 | Melbourne Storm - North Queensland Cowboys | 24:36 | | 29.08.24 | North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm | 38:30 | | 04.06.23 | North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm | 45:20 | | 21.05.22 | North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm | 36:6 | | 23.07.21 | North Queensland Cowboys - Melbourne Storm | 16:20 |
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