Match Info

World Cup

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: PNG Football Stadium (Port Moresby)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2


	Papua New Guinea		Lebanon

	1	X	2
	1.45	22	2.9
	1.36	21	3	Watch
	1.36		2.88
	1.34	25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.13)	17 ↓ (26)	3.05 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Papua New Guinea
65.2%

Draw
5.3%

Lebanon
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.2%

3.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Papua New Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Papua New Guinea's form might have worsened.

Lebanon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lebanon's recent form is better than expected.

Papua New Guinea - Lebanon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morea M.	1. Kiraz J.
2. Derby R.	2. Francis T.
3. Laybutt K.	3. Gabrael M.
4. MacDonald N.	4. Samrani J.
5. Dotoi D.	5. Saab J.
6. Voro G.	6. Rajab K.
8. Richard V.	7. Conti A.
9. Ipape E.	8. Rahme J.
10. Moretti L.	9. Ayache Y.
11. Martin R. (C)	10. Roumanos J.
12. Put N.	11. Sukkar T.
14. Glare F.	13. Twal A. (C)
15. Horne L.	15. Ibrahim M.
Substitutes
7. Biondi-Odo B.	14. Dirani M.
13. De Belin J.	16. Bazzaz J.
16. Kapinias E.	17. Rahme K.
17. Namo S.	18. Nohra J.
18. Tai R.	19. Miski A.
19. Wabo S.	20. Francis T.
Coaches
. Demetriou J.	. Cheika M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (18 - 12)
8', Voro G. (Try),
9', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
18', Derby R. (Try),
20', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
29', Put N. (Try),
30', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
35', Miski A. (Try),
36', Conti A. (Conversion Goal),
39', Sukkar T. (Try),
40', Conti A. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (24 - 6)
42', Glare F. (Try),
43', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
47', Kapinias E. (Try),
49', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
54', Miski A. (Try),
56', Conti A. (Conversion Goal),
71', Martin R. (Try),
72', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),
74', Biondi-Odo B. (Try),
75', Martin R. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In this matchup, Papua New Guinea is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Rugby League World Cup for now

Papua New Guinea: 0.73% Lebanon: 0.67%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Papua New Guinea rugby league
Pacific Championships Rugby League
01.11.25	Papua New Guinea - Fiji	50:18 ✺
25.10.25	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	40:28 ✺
10.11.24	New Zealand - Papua New Guinea	54:12 ✺
03.11.24	Papua New Guinea - Cook Islands	42:20 ✺
19.10.24	Fiji - Papua New Guinea	10:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Lebanon rugby league
Rugby League World Cup
04.11.22	Australia - Lebanon	48:4 ✺
30.10.22	Lebanon - Jamaica	74:12 ✺
23.10.22	Lebanon - Ireland	32:14 ✺
16.10.22	New Zealand - Lebanon	34:12 ✺
Friendly International Rugby League
08.10.22	Wales - Lebanon	22:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLW

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