Match Info

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday


	Tonga		Lebanon

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Tonga
96.3%

Draw
1.4%

Lebanon
2.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

93.2%

3.6%

3.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Lebanon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Expected Score (Market Odds): 52:7

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The betting markets point to Tonga as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tonga has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:22.

Tonga: 9.2% Lebanon: 0.67%

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonga rugby league
Rugby League World Cup
17.10.26	England - Tonga	12:30 ✺
Pacific Championships Rugby League
02.11.25	New Zealand - Tonga	40:14 ✺
26.10.25	Samoa - Tonga	34:6 ✺
10.11.24	Australia - Tonga	20:14 ✺
02.11.24	New Zealand - Tonga	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLW
- Lebanon rugby league
Rugby League World Cup
17.10.26	Papua New Guinea - Lebanon	42:18 ✺
04.11.22	Australia - Lebanon	48:4 ✺
30.10.22	Lebanon - Jamaica	74:12 ✺
23.10.22	Lebanon - Ireland	32:14 ✺
16.10.22	New Zealand - Lebanon	34:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL

Rugby League World Cup
17.11.17	Tonga - Lebanon	24:22

Tonga - Lebanon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide