Match Info
NRL - Round 1Date: 6 March 2026, FridayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
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Brisbane Broncos |
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Penrith Panthers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.72 |
21 |
2.15 |
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 |
1.67 |
21 |
2.2 |
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1.82 |
18 |
2.2 |
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1.72 |
18.17 |
2.29 |
 Watch |
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1.67 |
17 |
2.2 |
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 |
1.83 |
18 |
2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.78) |
18.86 ↑
(18.18) |
2.17 ↓
(2.18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 41.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Broncos
52.9% | Draw
4.9% | Penrith Panthers
42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Penrith Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 38.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Walsh R.
| 1. Edwards D.
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2.  Karapani J.
| 2. Alamoti P.
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3.  Staggs K.
| 4. McLean C.
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4. Shibasaki G.
| 5.  To'o B.
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5. Mariner D.
| 6. Talagi B.
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7. Reynolds A. (C)
| 7. Cleary N. (C)
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8. Jensen C.
| 8. Leota M.
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9. Paix C.
| 9. Kenny M.
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10. Haas P.
| 10. Smith L.
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11. Gosiewski J.
| 12. Garner L.
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12. Riki J.
| 13. Yeo I.
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13. Carrigan P.
| 16. Papali'i I.
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14. Hunt B.
| 18. Jenkins T.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
6. Mam E.
| 3. Tago I.
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15. Willison X.
| 11. Sorensen S.
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16. Talty B.
| 14. Cogger J.
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17. Tawha A.
| 17. Going K.
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18. Anderson G.
| 19. Lussick F.
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21. Hunt J.
| 20. Phillips B.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Maguire M.
| . Cleary I.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 18)
- 6', McLean C. (Try),
- 7', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
- 20', Edwards D. (Try),
- 22', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Cleary N. (Penalty Goal),
- 40', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 40', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 8)
- 60', Cleary N. (Penalty Goal),
- 75', Jenkins T. (Try),
- 77', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.Penrith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 338:426. (average 16.9:21.3).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 189:178. (average 17.2:16.2).
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Standings
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 6 | 5 | 1 | 206:72 | 10 |
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| 11 | Brisbane Broncos | 6 | 3 | 3 | 133:139 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 28.09.25 | Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers | 16:14 | | 04.05.25 | Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos | 32:8 | | 05.07.24 | Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers | 6:14 | | 21.03.24 | Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos | 34:12 | | 01.10.23 | Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos | 26:24 | | 18.05.23 | Brisbane Broncos - Penrith Panthers | 4:15 | | 03.03.23 | Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos | 12:13 |
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