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Current Win Probability
North Queensland Cowboys 20.9%
Draw 4.3%
Penrith Panthers 74.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.5%
3.7%
69.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
3.7%
70.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Queensland Cowboys's form might have worsened.
Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Queensland Cowboys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
North Queensland Cowboys - Penrith Panthers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Penrith (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Penrith (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:32
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Drinkwater S.
1. Edwards D.
2. Burns B.
2. Jenkins T.
3. Laybutt Z.
3. Alamoti P.
4. Chester T.
4. Tago I.
5. Taulagi M.
5. To'o B.
6. Purdue J.
6. Talagi B.
7. Clifford J.
7. Cleary N. (C)
8. Mikaele T.
8. Leota M.
9. Mahoney R.
9. Lussick F.
10. Taumalolo J.
11. Papali'i I.
11. Luki H.
12. Martin L.
12. Nanai J.
13. Yeo I.
13. Cotter R. (C)
16. Henry L.
Substitutes
14. Luke S.
10. Smith L.
15. Neame G.
14. Cogger J.
16. Lodge M.
15. Sorensen S.
17. Hess C.
17. Garner L.
19. McIntyre S.
18. Phillips B.
20. Bateman J.
19. Scott B.
Coaches
. Payten T.
. Cleary I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (10 - 10)
2', Taulagi M. (Try),
3', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
12', Jenkins T. (Try),
13', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
27', Clifford J. (Penalty Goal),
30', Nanai J. (Try),
31', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
38', Jenkins T. (Try),
40', Cleary N. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (16 - 2)
45', Cleary N. (Penalty Goal),
63', Clifford J. (Penalty Goal),
72', Clifford J. (Penalty Goal),
73', Nanai J. (Try),
75', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
77', Clifford J. (Try),
78', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 3.
Recent performances by North Queensland have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Penrith is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Penrith is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 415:417. (average 20.8:20.9).
Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 260:209. (average 26:20.9).
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Drinkwater S. 
Tago I. 
Mikaele T. 
Taumalolo J. 
Bateman J. 
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