The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sydney Roosters 59.2%
Draw 4.6%
Brisbane Broncos 36.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.7%
3.6%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
3.8%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Roosters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Roosters's form might have worsened.
Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Sydney Roosters - Brisbane Broncos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:22
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tedesco J. (C)
1. Walsh R.
2. Tupou D.
2. Karapani J.
3. Savala H.
3. Staggs K.
4. Toia R.
4. Shibasaki G.
5. Nawaqanitawase M.
5. Mariner D.
6. Cherry-Evans D.
6. Mam E.
7. Walker S.
7. Reynolds A. (C)
8. Whyte N.
8. Talty B.
9. Robson R.
9. Paix C.
10. Collins L.
10. Gosiewski J.
11. Crichton A.
11. Willison X.
12. Wong S.
12. Riki J.
13. Radley V.
13. Carrigan P.
Substitutes
14. Watson C.
14. Rogers J.
15. Leniu S.
15. Hunt J.
16. Butcher N.
16. Semu V.
17. Foketi S.
17. Tawha A.
18. Ramsey C.
18. Arthars J.
21. Butcher E.
21. Duffy T.
Coaches
. Robinson T.
. Maguire M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (24 - 0)
3', Cherry-Evans D. (Try),
4', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
6', Walker S. (Penalty Goal),
19', Tupou D. (Try),
20', Walker S. (Missed Conversion),
33', Savala H. (Try),
34', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
40', Walker S. (Try),
40', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 24)
43', Butcher N. (Try),
44', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
51', Walsh R. (Try),
53', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
59', Willison X. (Try),
60', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
61', Carrigan P. (Try),
63', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
66', Riki J. (Try),
68', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
74', Walker S. (Penalty Goal),
76', Robson R. (Try),
78', Walker S. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 494:407. (average 24.7:20.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 260:202. (average 26:20.2).
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Tedesco J. (C) 
Tupou D. 
Karapani J. 
Mariner D. 
Walker S. 
Wong S. 
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