Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Michel Bendichou (Colomiers)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Go, Superleague+


	Toulouse Olympique		Warrington Wolves

	1	X	2
	5	34	1.17	Watch
	5.6	20	1.2
	5.9	24.96	1.16	Watch
	5.5	29	1.15
	6	23	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↓ (6)	26.19 ↓ (27.25)	1.16 ↑ (1.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse Olympique
16.6%

Draw
3.5%

Warrington Wolves
79.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.4%

3.4%

81.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse Olympique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Warrington Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Toulouse Olympique - Warrington Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:31

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashall-Bott O.	2. Thewlis J.
2. Ulberg P.	3. King T.
5. Laguerre B.	4. Hopoate A.
9. Hands B.	5. Ashton M.
10. Roumanos J.	7. Sneyd M.
11. Stefani M.	8. Yates L.
12. Jussaume M.	13. Currie B.
13. Marion A. (C)	14. Powell S.
15. Cator J.	16. Byrne L.
22. O'Kane H.	17. Crowther J.
25. Polselli L.	18. Irwin E.
29. Rouge C.	20. Bentley J.
30. Chan T.	26. Smith J.
Substitutes
17. Butler R.	9. Walker D.
18. Rodriguez B.	15. Sipley T.
20. Wallace A.	25. Wood M.
21. Gillam E.	34. Tanginoa K.
27. Garrigues H.	35. Webster L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 18)
7', King T. (Try),
12', Sneyd M. (Conversion Goal),
27', Smith J. (Try),
29', Sneyd M. (Conversion Goal),
34', Wood M. (Try),
36', Sneyd M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (16 - 6)
51', King T. (Try),
53', Sneyd M. (Conversion Goal),
55', Jussaume M. (Try),
59', Ashall-Bott O. (Try),
61', Rouge C. (Conversion Goal),
66', Ashall-Bott O. (Try),
66', Rouge C. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stade Michel Bendichou.

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Toulouse Olympique has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Warrington's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Toulouse Olympique may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Toulouse Olympique has had a series of away games.

In this match, Warrington is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Toulouse Olympique won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:64. (average 18:32).

Including home match between the teams, Toulouse Olympique won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:32.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse Olympique
Super League Rugby
03.05.26	Hull - Toulouse Olympique	4:12 ✺
23.04.26	York City Knights - Toulouse Olympique	38:14 ✺
17.04.26	Toulouse Olympique - Hull Kingston Rovers	0:46 ✺
04.04.26	Catalans Dragons - Toulouse Olympique	33:26 ✺
28.03.26	Leigh Leopards - Toulouse Olympique	21:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLLLL
- Warrington Wolves
Challenge Cup Rugby League
10.05.26	Warrington Wolves - Hull Kingston Rovers	12:32 ✺
Super League Rugby
02.05.26	Huddersfield Giants - Warrington Wolves	4:34 ✺
24.04.26	Warrington Wolves - Wigan Warriors	23:6 ✺
18.04.26	Catalans Dragons - Warrington Wolves	38:22 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby League
11.04.26	Warrington Wolves - Leigh Leopards	24:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Super League Rugby
11.08.22	Warrington Wolves - Toulouse Olympique	32:18
26.02.22	Toulouse Olympique - Warrington Wolves	18:32

Toulouse Olympique - Warrington Wolves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide