Match Info

Super League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Belle Vue (Wakefield)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
International	Superleague+


	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats		Leigh Leopards

	1	X	2
	1.5	21	2.7	Watch
	1.5	14	2.9
	1.5	17	2.6	Watch
	1.59	15	2.61
	1.61	19	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.73)	17.2 ↓ (21)	2.65 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 34.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
59.9%

Draw
5.4%

Leigh Leopards
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

4.4%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

4.7%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wakefield Trinity Wildcats's performance.

Leigh Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leigh Leopards might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wakefield Trinity Wildcats than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wakefield Trinity Wildcats that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leigh Leopards than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leigh Leopards could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leigh Leopards Predictions

Users Predictions: Wakefield Trinity Wildcats will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:15

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jowitt M.	1. Armstrong D.
3. Scott C.	4. Hanley U.
4. Hall C.	5. Charnley J.
5. Johnstone T.	6. Cook A.
6. Trueman J.	7. Lam L.
7. Lino M.	8. Ofahengaue J.
8. McMeeken M.	12. Trout O.
9. Smoothy T.	13. Liu I.
10. Rodwell K.	15. Alick Wiencke J.
13. Tevaga J.	17. Horne L.
18. Vagana I.	19. Senior I.
19. Walmsley L.	22. Hughes J.
34. Guler E.	23. Badrock A.
Substitutes
14. Pitts J.	9. Ipape E.
15. Hamlin-Uele C.	16. Davis M.
16. Faatili C.	21. O'Brien G.
20. Sinfield J.	25. Brogan L.
26. Lipowicz Z.	32. Ashworth J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 6)
4', Jowitt M. (Penalty Goal),
18', Smoothy T. (Try),
19', Smoothy T. (Conversion Goal),
29', Johnstone T. (Try),
40', Armstrong D. (Try),
2nd Half (14 - 10)
45', Vagana I. (Try),
47', Jowitt M. (Conversion Goal),
51', Faatili C. (Try),
52', Jowitt M. (Conversion Goal),
65', Lam L. (Try),
66', Cook A. (Conversion Goal),
73', Jowitt M. (Penalty Goal),
78', Senior I. (Try),

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Super League PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 5th in the Promotion ~ Super League PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wakefield won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wakefield holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Wakefield has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 317:375 (averaging 19.8:23.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wakefield against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 154:240 goals (averaging 17.1:26.7 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wakefield Trinity Wildcats
Super League Rugby
11.09.26	Leigh Leopards - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	8:19 ✺
05.09.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Warrington Wolves	25:18 ✺
29.08.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - York City Knights	28:12 ✺
21.08.26	Wigan Warriors - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	26:12 ✺
15.08.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - St Helens	16:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL
- Leigh Leopards
Super League Rugby
11.09.26	Leigh Leopards - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	8:19 ✺
04.09.26	Leigh Leopards - St Helens	48:10 ✺
28.08.26	Huddersfield Giants - Leigh Leopards	30:18 ✺
21.08.26	Leigh Leopards - Bradford Bulls	62:10 ✺
13.08.26	Leeds Rhinos - Leigh Leopards	16:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Super League Rugby
11.09.26	Leigh Leopards - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	8:19
20.03.26	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leigh Leopards	18:14
26.09.25	Leigh Leopards - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	26:10
15.06.25	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leigh Leopards	20:24
Challenge Cup Rugby League
04.04.25	Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leigh Leopards	12:20
Super League Rugby
28.03.25	Leigh Leopards - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	14:40
15.09.23	Leigh Leopards - Wakefield Trinity Wildcats	19:19

Wakefield Trinity Wildcats - Leigh Leopards: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide